★ Moneyball Original · Ballon d'Or
Ballon d'Or race: who leads on the numbers? The Moneyball Index top 10
By Moneyball Editorial · published
The Ballon d'Or is decided by votes, but the season is decided on the pitch. The Moneyball Index ranks every outfield player in Europe's top five leagues and the Champions League on what the numbers say this season. Right now Lamine Yamal (FC Barcelona) leads with 99.1 out of 100.
The Moneyball Ballon d'Or Index: top 10
| # | Player | Club | Index | Rating | G+A /90 | xG /90 | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lamine Yamal | FC Barcelona | 99.1 | 8.71 | 1.66 | 0.76 | 761 |
| 2 | Raphinha | FC Barcelona | 98.6 | 8.66 | 2.01 | 1.18 | 626 |
| 3 | Kylian Mbappé | Real Madrid | 97.2 | 7.75 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 810 |
| 4 | Florian Thauvin | Lens | 94.9 | 8.03 | 0.86 | 0.61 | 630 |
| 5 | Erling Haaland | Manchester City | 92.5 | 7.37 | 1.16 | 0.79 | 620 |
| 6 | Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | Deportivo A Coruña | 90.6 | 7.43 | 1.13 | 0.44 | 560 |
| 7 | Pascal Groß | Brighton & Hove Albion | 90.5 | 7.80 | 1.00 | 0.32 | 540 |
| 8 | Harry Kane | FC Bayern München | 89.4 | 7.63 | 1.33 | 0.92 | 475 |
| 9 | Michael Olise | FC Bayern München | 89.1 | 8.56 | 1.49 | 0.42 | 483 |
| 10 | Serhou Guirassy | Borussia Dortmund | 88.4 | 7.42 | 0.86 | 0.74 | 521 |
What the numbers say
Lamine Yamal combines a match rating of 8.71 with 1.66 goals and assists every 90 minutes. Raphinha is second on 98.6, ahead of Kylian Mbappé on 97.2. The gap at the top is 0.5 points: one big week can still change the order.
How the index works
Each player gets four scores from 0 to 100 against the other contenders, then a weighted average: 40% average match rating, 30% goals plus assists per 90, 15% expected goals per 90 and 15% minutes played, so a great month off the bench does not beat a great season. Only players with 450 minutes or more count. The table updates itself after every round.
See every player in the Stats Centre
Questions
- What is the Moneyball Ballon d'Or Index?
- A score out of 100 for this season: 40% average match rating, 30% goals plus assists per 90 minutes, 15% expected goals per 90 and 15% minutes played, each compared with every other outfield player with 450 minutes or more in the top five leagues and the Champions League.
- Is this the official Ballon d'Or ranking?
- No. The Ballon d'Or is voted by journalists. The Moneyball Index shows who leads on the numbers, and it is updated with every match.
- Why are goalkeepers not included?
- Their numbers are of a different kind (saves, goals prevented), so they are ranked separately.