Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
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Stats Centre

Team and player statistics for Europe's top five leagues: expected goals, shots, ratings, leaderboards and the Statistical Best XI.

Match Board
Moneyball Premium

Every match. Every line. Priced by the model.

Scores sites tell you what happened. Moneyball Odds tells you what the data says about the probability and the price: the model’s probability, the bookmaker’s probability with its margin removed, the fair odds and the expected value of every line.

Transparent probabilities, not promises. No model predicts football reliably, and Moneyball Odds never claims you will win.

Example · how a match reads Home side vs Away side
Model probability
62.4%
Market, margin removed
53.8%
Fair odds
1.60
Bookmaker odds
1.86
Expected value
+16.1%

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  • Every bookmaker price on the board: handicap, over/under, 1X2
  • Model picks and full analysis for the first 3 matches of every schedule
  • Live Match Centre: lineups, events, commentary, pressure and xG
  • Stats Centre: team and player tables, Statistical Best XI
  • Team Characteristics, head to head, statistics comparison
  • Football news, comments, user predictions and email alerts
Full access

Moneyball Pro

$14.99 / month

Rp250.000 a month · launch price

  • Every model pick on every schedule, nothing blurred
  • Dixon-Coles · xG fusion probabilities: win, draw, loss, both teams to score, total goals
  • Fair odds and expected value on every Asian handicap, over/under and 1X2 line
  • Two-model cross-check: Dixon-Coles vs Bradley-Terry vs the market with its margin removed
  • Final-score heat map and total-goals probabilities
  • Match Forecast for every match
  • Parlay Builder with simulated return and chance of profit

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Football News

Stats Centre

Top Team Statistics

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Top Player Statistics

Statistical Best XI

Only the best performing player for each position is displayed. Ratings are Sportmonks match ratings.

Match Centre

Head To Head What these two have done to each other, venue taken out
Two-Model Cross-Check Dixon-Coles vs Bradley-Terry vs market
Statistics Comparison per match, season average
Scoreline & Total Goals

Final-score heat map

Total-goals probability

Value Board EV = expected value per 1 unit of stake. Gold row = best selection.
Team Characteristics
User Predictions
Comments
Parlay Builder Legs highlighted in gold are the most efficient under the model
Method