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Scouting Players Research

Breakout Season or One-Season Wonder? The Players Who Jumped Most This Season

The most expensive mistake in football recruitment is paying for one great season. These are the players whose Moneyball Score jumped by 15 or more from last season to this one, and the ones who fell as far after a great year. Scouting Players Research flags both beside every name.

The biggest jumps

#PlayerAgePositionLast seasonThis season
1Jeffrey de Lange
Olympique Marseille · FRA
28GK3261
2Alex Meret
Napoli · ITA
29GK3353
3Niclas Füllkrug
Werder Bremen · GER
33CF5372
4Maarten Vandevoordt
RB Leipzig · GER
24GK4362
5Phillip Tietz
FSV Mainz 05 · GER
29CF5776
6Filip Jørgensen
Strasbourg · FRA
24GK3958
7Berke Özer
LOSC Lille · FRA
26GK3452
8Lukas Hradecky
Monaco · FRA
36GK4257

Down after a great season

#PlayerAgePositionLast seasonThis season
1Matías Dituro
Elche · ESP
39GK7443
2Sergio Herrera
Osasuna · ESP
33GK6236
3Robin Roefs
Sunderland · ENG
23GK6742
4Djordje Petrovic
AFC Bournemouth · ENG
27GK5632
5Justin Bijlow
Genoa · ITA
28GK6339
6Oliver Baumann
TSG Hoffenheim · GER
36GK5835
7Daniel Heuer Fernandes
Hamburger SV · GER
33GK6644
8David de Gea
Fiorentina · ITA
35GK4826

Check before you pay

Every recommendation in Scouting carries this warning: a breakout season, a drop after a great one, or a star with no earlier top-five season to check against.

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How the figures are made: Sportmonks' season statistics for every player in Europe's top five leagues, per 90 minutes and adjusted for league strength, regressed toward the average of the position while minutes are few, and ranked against players in the same position. The Moneyball Score weighs what each position asks for. Early in a season every figure moves; it is an estimate, not a verdict.

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