ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction and Stats
Eredivisie · Sunday 8 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
ADO Den Haag welcome Sparta Rotterdam to WerkTalent Stadion in Den Haag in Eredivisie action on Sunday 8 November 2026.
ADO Den Haag have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 17% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 100% win rate. Sparta Rotterdam have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.4 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 67% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, there is little to separate them: ADO Den Haag 38%, the draw 26%, Sparta Rotterdam 36%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 3 goals: 50%.
ADO Den Haag: form and key numbers
In style ADO Den Haag play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.12 a match created, 1.98 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.6).
- Shots: 12.4 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 49.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Sparta Rotterdam: form and key numbers
In style Sparta Rotterdam are happy without the ball, play long and direct, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.71 a match created, 2.05 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.5).
- Shots: 13.9 a match, 5.1 on target.
- Possession: 44.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: season averages side by side
| ADO Den Haag | Per match | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.71 |
| 1.98 | xG conceded | 2.05 |
| 1.33 | Goals | 1.75 |
| 12.4 | Shots | 13.9 |
| 3.9 | Shots on target | 5.1 |
| 1.1 | Big chances missed | 1.7 |
| 40.1 | Pressure share % | 41.5 |
| 16.4 | Tackles | 16.0 |
| 14.0 | Fouls | 10.8 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 12 and 12 measured matches.
Players to watch
ADO Den Haag
- Kilian Nikièma GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 40 · Long passer, Secure passer (top 15% of his position)
- Juho Kilo CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 38 · Long passer, Press-resistant (top 7% of his position)
Sparta Rotterdam
- Casper Terho RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 36 · Crosser, Big-chance creator (top 27% of his position)
- Nick Verschuren CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 35 · Hard to dribble past, Blocks shots (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Milan Zonneveld
Milan Zonneveld, 23 · Sparta Rotterdam · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 47
Milan Zonneveld, 23, plays as a centre-forward for Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and key passes. Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 47
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 44
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 5.93 / 90 | 96% |
| Key passes | 2.05 / 90 | 78% |
| Duels won | 7.76 / 90 | 71% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 xG/shot | 65% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.62 / 90 | 61% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★½ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air.
- What Milan Zonneveld is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Milan Zonneveld's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction
ADO Den Haag should have more of the ball; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals - 1.72 for ADO Den Haag and 1.67 for Sparta Rotterdam - with over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 67%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: ADO Den Haag 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 38%
- 2. 3 or more goals 66% by the model, 3.39 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 67% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.3 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: questions and answers
When is ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam is on Sunday 8 November 2026, in Eredivisie.
Where is ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
At WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag, ADO Den Haag's home ground.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
It is close: ADO Den Haag 38%, draw 26%, Sparta Rotterdam 36%. Our prediction is ADO Den Haag 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam.
Who is the player to watch in ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Milan Zonneveld of Sparta Rotterdam: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 47 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.