Al Ettifaq Dammam vs Al Hilal Riyadh Prediction and Stats
Saudi Pro League · Saturday 7 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Al Ettifaq Dammam welcome Al Hilal Riyadh to EGO STADIUM in Ad Dammām in Saudi Pro League action on Saturday 7 November 2026.
Al Ettifaq Dammam have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 42% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 20% win rate. Al Hilal Riyadh have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 2.9 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 91% of them. Away from home they average 3.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Al Hilal Riyadh are clear favourites at 73%, with the draw at 16% and Al Ettifaq Dammam at 12%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 3.75 goals: 46%.
Al Ettifaq Dammam: form and key numbers
In style Al Ettifaq Dammam keep the ball, press high.
- Expected goals: 1.36 a match created, 1.53 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.7).
- Shots: 13.6 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 54.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 42% of matches (20% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Al Hilal Riyadh: form and key numbers
In style Al Hilal Riyadh keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 3.19 a match created, 0.96 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.1).
- Shots: 19.9 a match, 6.9 on target.
- Possession: 56.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 55% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.09.
Al Ettifaq Dammam vs Al Hilal Riyadh: season averages side by side
| Al Ettifaq Dammam | Per match | Al Hilal Riyadh |
|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | Expected goals (xG) | 3.19 |
| 1.53 | xG conceded | 0.96 |
| 1.50 | Goals | 2.91 |
| 13.6 | Shots | 19.9 |
| 5.3 | Shots on target | 6.9 |
| 1.4 | Big chances missed | 4.0 |
| 61.2 | Pressure share % | 80.2 |
| 14.0 | Tackles | 15.7 |
| 11.8 | Fouls | 11.6 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 1.2 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 12 and 11 measured matches.
Al Ettifaq Dammam vs Al Hilal Riyadh: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Al Ettifaq Dammam have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Al Ettifaq Dammam 2, Al Hilal Riyadh 11 - 3.3 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 Al Ettifaq Dammam (February 13th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Al Ettifaq Dammam won 0, drew 1 and lost 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2026 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 2 – 0 | Al Ettifaq Dammam |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Al Ettifaq Dammam | 0 – 5 | Al Hilal Riyadh |
| 11 Apr 2025 | Al Ettifaq Dammam | 1 – 1 | Al Hilal Riyadh |
| 8 Nov 2024 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 3 – 1 | Al Ettifaq Dammam |
Players to watch
Al Ettifaq Dammam
- Turki Ba Al-Jawsh GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 22 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 19% of his position)
- Álvaro Medrán CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 18 · Creator, Chance creator (top 27% of his position)
Al Hilal Riyadh
- Yassine Bounou GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 22 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 3% of his position)
- Ollie Watkins CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 22 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Crysencio Summerville
Crysencio Summerville, 25 · Al Hilal · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 24
Crysencio Summerville, 25, plays as a winger for Al Hilal in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in expected goals and big chances created. Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 24
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 23
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 21
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.49 / 90 | 69% |
| Big chances created | 0.65 / 90 | 63% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.20 / 90 | 51% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.33 / 90 | 45% |
| Dispossessed | 0.83 / 90 | 28% |
Roles he suits
- ★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★½ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★ Creative winger Winger
- What Crysencio Summerville is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Crysencio Summerville's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Ettifaq Dammam vs Al Hilal Riyadh prediction
Al Hilal Riyadh should have more of the ball; Al Ettifaq Dammam press high to win the ball back; Al Hilal Riyadh work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals - 1.11 for Al Ettifaq Dammam and 2.34 for Al Hilal Riyadh - with over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 61%. Al Hilal Riyadh have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Al Ettifaq Dammam 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh
Al Ettifaq Dammam vs Al Hilal Riyadh: what the numbers say
- 1. Al Hilal Riyadh win, the likeliest result 73% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 3 or more goals 67% by the model, 3.45 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 61% by the model
- 4. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 3.5 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 12.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Al Ettifaq Dammam vs Al Hilal Riyadh: questions and answers
When is Al Ettifaq Dammam vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Al Ettifaq Dammam vs Al Hilal Riyadh is on Saturday 7 November 2026, in Saudi Pro League.
Where is Al Ettifaq Dammam vs Al Hilal Riyadh played?
At EGO STADIUM, Ad Dammām, Al Ettifaq Dammam's home ground.
Who will win Al Ettifaq Dammam vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Al Hilal Riyadh are the favourites: Al Ettifaq Dammam 12%, draw 16%, Al Hilal Riyadh 73%. Our prediction is Al Ettifaq Dammam 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh.
Who is the player to watch in Al Ettifaq Dammam vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Crysencio Summerville of Al Hilal: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 24 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Ettifaq Dammam vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.