Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah Prediction and Stats
Saudi Pro League · Saturday 7 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Al Faisaly welcome Al Diriyah to King Salman bin Abdulaziz Sport City Stadium in Al Majma'ah in Saudi Pro League action on Saturday 7 November 2026.
Al Faisaly have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 17% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate. Al Diriyah have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average.
On the pre-match consensus, Al Diriyah are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 27% and Al Faisaly at 28%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.75 goals: 50%.
Al Faisaly: form and key numbers
In style Al Faisaly play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.09 a match created, 1.72 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.0).
- Shots: 9.5 a match, 3.3 on target.
- Possession: 48.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah: season averages side by side
| Al Faisaly | Per match | Al Diriyah |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | Expected goals (xG) | – |
| 1.72 | xG conceded | – |
| 1.08 | Goals | – |
| 9.5 | Shots | – |
| 3.3 | Shots on target | – |
| 1.9 | Big chances missed | – |
| 40.1 | Pressure share % | – |
| 16.3 | Tackles | – |
| 10.3 | Fouls | – |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | – |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 12 and – measured matches.
Players to watch
Al Faisaly
- Flávio CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 14 · Press-resistant, Secure passer (top 20% of his position)
- Andrei Girotto CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 13 · Ball-winner, Blocks shots (top 43% of his position)
Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.32 for Al Faisaly and 1.62 for Al Diriyah - with over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 59%. Al Diriyah have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Al Faisaly 1-2 Al Diriyah
Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah: what the numbers say
- 1. Al Diriyah unbeaten (win or draw) 72% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 56% by the model, 2.93 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah: questions and answers
When is Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah?
Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah is on Saturday 7 November 2026, in Saudi Pro League.
Where is Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah played?
At King Salman bin Abdulaziz Sport City Stadium, Al Majma'ah, Al Faisaly's home ground.
Who will win Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah?
Al Diriyah are the favourites: Al Faisaly 28%, draw 27%, Al Diriyah 45%. Our prediction is Al Faisaly 1-2 Al Diriyah.
How many goals will there be in Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.