Al Fateh Al Hasa vs Al Riyadh Prediction and Stats
Saudi Pro League · Friday 6 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Al Fateh Al Hasa welcome Al Riyadh to Al Fateh Club Stadium in Saudi Pro League action on Friday 6 November 2026.
Al Fateh Al Hasa have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 8% of them. At home they average 0.7 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate. Al Riyadh have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 27% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Al Fateh Al Hasa are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 27% and Al Riyadh at 30%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.75 goals: 51%.
Al Fateh Al Hasa: form and key numbers
In style Al Fateh Al Hasa are happy without the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.13 a match created, 2.19 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.5).
- Shots: 11.3 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 43.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.70.
Al Riyadh: form and key numbers
In style Al Riyadh are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.01 a match created, 1.86 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.1).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 42.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.70.
Al Fateh Al Hasa vs Al Riyadh: season averages side by side
| Al Fateh Al Hasa | Per match | Al Riyadh |
|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.01 |
| 2.19 | xG conceded | 1.86 |
| 0.83 | Goals | 1.00 |
| 11.3 | Shots | 12.3 |
| 4.1 | Shots on target | 3.2 |
| 1.3 | Big chances missed | 0.8 |
| 33.4 | Pressure share % | 27.8 |
| 15.8 | Tackles | 13.0 |
| 12.3 | Fouls | 10.8 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 12 and 11 measured matches.
Al Fateh Al Hasa vs Al Riyadh: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Al Fateh Al Hasa have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Al Fateh Al Hasa 6, Al Riyadh 6 - 3.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Al Riyadh 1-0 Al Fateh Al Hasa (May 10th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Al Fateh Al Hasa won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Al Riyadh | 1 – 0 | Al Fateh Al Hasa |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Al Fateh Al Hasa | 3 – 1 | Al Riyadh |
| 23 Apr 2025 | Al Riyadh | 2 – 2 | Al Fateh Al Hasa |
| 28 Nov 2024 | Al Fateh Al Hasa | 1 – 2 | Al Riyadh |
Players to watch
Al Fateh Al Hasa
- Adrian Semper GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 17 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 61% of his position)
- Walid Al-Enezi GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 13 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 71% of his position)
Al Riyadh
- Bernard Mensah AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 13 · Secure passer, Big-chance creator (top 1% of his position)
- Kader Keita DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 12 · Hard to dribble past, Secure passer (top 22% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mourad Batna
Mourad Batna, 36 · Al Fateh · RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 14
Mourad Batna, 36, plays as a winger for Al Fateh in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and successful dribbles. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 14
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.73 / 90 | 75% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.19 / 90 | 30% |
| Big chances created | 0.37 / 90 | 28% |
| Key passes | 2.37 / 90 | 23% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.26 / 90 | 22% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★ Classic winger Winger
- What Mourad Batna is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mourad Batna's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Fateh Al Hasa vs Al Riyadh prediction
Al Fateh Al Hasa should have more of the ball; Al Fateh Al Hasa like to take players on; Al Riyadh go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.55 for Al Fateh Al Hasa and 1.35 for Al Riyadh - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 59%. Al Fateh Al Hasa have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Al Fateh Al Hasa 2-1 Al Riyadh
Al Fateh Al Hasa vs Al Riyadh: what the numbers say
- 1. Al Fateh Al Hasa unbeaten (win or draw) 70% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 55% by the model, 2.90 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 7.0 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 8.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Al Fateh Al Hasa vs Al Riyadh: questions and answers
When is Al Fateh Al Hasa vs Al Riyadh?
Al Fateh Al Hasa vs Al Riyadh is on Friday 6 November 2026, in Saudi Pro League.
Where is Al Fateh Al Hasa vs Al Riyadh played?
At Al Fateh Club Stadium, Al Fateh Al Hasa's home ground.
Who will win Al Fateh Al Hasa vs Al Riyadh?
Al Fateh Al Hasa are the favourites: Al Fateh Al Hasa 44%, draw 27%, Al Riyadh 30%. Our prediction is Al Fateh Al Hasa 2-1 Al Riyadh.
Who is the player to watch in Al Fateh Al Hasa vs Al Riyadh?
Mourad Batna of Al Fateh: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 14 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Fateh Al Hasa vs Al Riyadh?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.