Al Hazem vs Al Nassr Prediction and Stats
Saudi Pro League · Friday 6 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Al Hazem welcome Al Nassr in Saudi Pro League action on Friday 6 November 2026.
Al Hazem have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average. Al Nassr have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 82% of them. Away from home they average 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Al Nassr are clear favourites at 73%, with the draw at 16% and Al Hazem at 11%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 3.5 goals: 49%.
Al Nassr: form and key numbers
In style Al Nassr keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.88 a match created, 0.85 conceded (goals minus xG: +7.3).
- Shots: 15.9 a match, 6.4 on target.
- Possession: 55.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 36% of matches (25% away).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.95.
Al Hazem vs Al Nassr: season averages side by side
| Al Hazem | Per match | Al Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| – | Expected goals (xG) | 1.88 |
| – | xG conceded | 0.85 |
| – | Goals | 2.55 |
| – | Shots | 15.9 |
| – | Shots on target | 6.4 |
| – | Big chances missed | 2.0 |
| – | Pressure share % | 71.5 |
| – | Tackles | 15.0 |
| – | Fouls | 14.0 |
| – | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks.
Players to watch
Al Nassr
- João Félix SS · Link-up forward · Moneyball Score 34 · Sets up goals from real chances, Creator (top 9% of his position)
- Cristiano Ronaldo CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 20 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 27% of his position)
Al Hazem vs Al Nassr prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.19 for Al Hazem and 1.85 for Al Nassr - with over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 59%. Al Nassr have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Al Hazem 1-2 Al Nassr
Al Hazem vs Al Nassr: what the numbers say
- 1. Al Nassr win, the likeliest result 73% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 3 or more goals 59% by the model, 3.04 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Al Hazem vs Al Nassr: questions and answers
When is Al Hazem vs Al Nassr?
Al Hazem vs Al Nassr is on Friday 6 November 2026, in Saudi Pro League.
Who will win Al Hazem vs Al Nassr?
Al Nassr are the favourites: Al Hazem 11%, draw 16%, Al Nassr 73%. Our prediction is Al Hazem 1-2 Al Nassr.
How many goals will there be in Al Hazem vs Al Nassr?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.