Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Neom SC Prediction and Stats
Saudi Pro League · Friday 6 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Al Ittihad Jeddah welcome Neom SC to Alinma Stadium in Jeddah in Saudi Pro League action on Friday 6 November 2026.
Al Ittihad Jeddah have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 64% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 57% win rate. Neom SC have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 58% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 6 matches, with a 43% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Al Ittihad Jeddah are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 27% and Neom SC at 28%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.75 goals: 53%.
Al Ittihad Jeddah: form and key numbers
In style Al Ittihad Jeddah take players on, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 2.01 a match created, 1.36 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.1).
- Shots: 14.8 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 51.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 73% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Neom SC: form and key numbers
In style Neom SC keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.48 a match created, 1.31 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.2).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 53.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Neom SC: season averages side by side
| Al Ittihad Jeddah | Per match | Neom SC |
|---|---|---|
| 2.01 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.48 |
| 1.36 | xG conceded | 1.31 |
| 1.91 | Goals | 1.50 |
| 14.8 | Shots | 12.8 |
| 5.2 | Shots on target | 4.0 |
| 1.7 | Big chances missed | 1.8 |
| 54.9 | Pressure share % | 62.5 |
| 15.6 | Tackles | 16.3 |
| 11.1 | Fouls | 12.1 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 11 and 12 measured matches.
Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Neom SC: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Al Ittihad Jeddah have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of the last 2 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Al Ittihad Jeddah 6, Neom SC 5 - 5.5 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Al Ittihad Jeddah 3-4 Neom SC (April 8th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 2 meetings Al Ittihad Jeddah won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Apr 2026 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 3 – 4 | Neom SC |
| 31 Dec 2025 | Neom SC | 1 – 3 | Al Ittihad Jeddah |
Players to watch
Al Ittihad Jeddah
- Predrag Rajković GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 26 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 20% of his position)
- Youssef En-Nesyri CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 16 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 26% of his position)
Neom SC
- Marcin Bulka GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 25 · Secure passer, Long passer (top 28% of his position)
- Alaa Hejji CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 15 · Secure passer, Gets into scoring positions (top 35% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Saïd Benrahma
Saïd Benrahma, 31 · NEOM SC · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 28
Saïd Benrahma, 31, plays as a winger for NEOM SC in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in big chances created and expected assists (est.). Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 28
- LW · Winger Natural, 28
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 25
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Big chances created | 1.19 / 90 | 87% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.54 / 90 | 75% |
| Expected goals | 0.58 / 90 | 73% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.78 / 90 | 67% |
| Key passes | 3.36 / 90 | 47% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★ Link-up forward Second striker
Scout's notes: Big-chance creator.
- What Saïd Benrahma is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Saïd Benrahma's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Neom SC prediction
Neom SC should have more of the ball; Al Ittihad Jeddah like to take players on; Neom SC go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.57 for Al Ittihad Jeddah and 1.14 for Neom SC - with over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 55%. Al Ittihad Jeddah have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Al Ittihad Jeddah 2-1 Neom SC
Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Neom SC: what the numbers say
- 1. Al Ittihad Jeddah unbeaten (win or draw) 72% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.71 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (51%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.2 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 9.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Neom SC: questions and answers
When is Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Neom SC?
Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Neom SC is on Friday 6 November 2026, in Saudi Pro League.
Where is Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Neom SC played?
At Alinma Stadium, Jeddah, Al Ittihad Jeddah's home ground.
Who will win Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Neom SC?
Al Ittihad Jeddah are the favourites: Al Ittihad Jeddah 44%, draw 27%, Neom SC 28%. Our prediction is Al Ittihad Jeddah 2-1 Neom SC.
Who is the player to watch in Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Neom SC?
Saïd Benrahma of NEOM SC: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 28 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Neom SC?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.