Al Qadisiyah vs Al Fayha Prediction and Stats
Saudi Pro League · Thursday 5 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Al Qadisiyah welcome Al Fayha in Saudi Pro League action on Thursday 5 November 2026.
Al Qadisiyah have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average. Al Fayha have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 17% of them. Away from home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Al Qadisiyah are clear favourites at 77%, with the draw at 13% and Al Fayha at 9%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 3.75 goals: 51%.
Al Fayha: form and key numbers
In style Al Fayha are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.00 a match created, 2.11 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.0).
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 3.8 on target.
- Possession: 46.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Al Qadisiyah vs Al Fayha: season averages side by side
| Al Qadisiyah | Per match | Al Fayha |
|---|---|---|
| – | Expected goals (xG) | 1.00 |
| – | xG conceded | 2.11 |
| – | Goals | 1.33 |
| – | Shots | 11.4 |
| – | Shots on target | 3.8 |
| – | Big chances missed | 1.3 |
| – | Pressure share % | 32.1 |
| – | Tackles | 14.3 |
| – | Fouls | 10.3 |
| – | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks.
Players to watch
Al Fayha
- Orlando Mosquera GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 29 · Box defender, Secure passer (top 34% of his position)
- Fashion Sakala SS · Dribbling forward · Moneyball Score 16 · Dribbler, Creator (top 15% of his position)
Al Qadisiyah vs Al Fayha prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.98 for Al Qadisiyah and 1.14 for Al Fayha - with over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 59%. Al Qadisiyah have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Al Qadisiyah 2-1 Al Fayha
Al Qadisiyah vs Al Fayha: what the numbers say
- 1. Al Qadisiyah win, the likeliest result 77% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 3 or more goals 60% by the model, 3.12 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Al Qadisiyah vs Al Fayha: questions and answers
When is Al Qadisiyah vs Al Fayha?
Al Qadisiyah vs Al Fayha is on Thursday 5 November 2026, in Saudi Pro League.
Who will win Al Qadisiyah vs Al Fayha?
Al Qadisiyah are the favourites: Al Qadisiyah 77%, draw 13%, Al Fayha 9%. Our prediction is Al Qadisiyah 2-1 Al Fayha.
How many goals will there be in Al Qadisiyah vs Al Fayha?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.