Andorra vs Malta: Prediction, Odds and Preview
UEFA Nations League D · Thursday 24 September 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-07
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Andorra host Malta in the UEFA Nations League D on Thursday 24 September 2026. The prices see little between them: Andorra 28%, the draw 32%, Malta 40% once the bookmaker's margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (14.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Andorra 0 at 2.16, Malta at 1.52. The main goals line is 1.75: over 1.78, under 1.88, which gives over 51%.
Form in numbers
- Malta create more: 0.95 expected goals a match against 0.34 for Andorra.
- Andorra give away less, 1.95 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Andorra 8.2 (– on target), Malta 12.8 (– on target).
| Andorra | Per match | Malta |
|---|---|---|
| 0.34 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.95 |
| 1.95 | xG conceded | 2.55 |
| 0.38 | Goals | 0.64 |
| 8.2 | Shots | 12.8 |
| 11.9 | Tackles | 17.6 |
| 13.8 | Fouls | 14.0 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 26 and 20 measured matches.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.