Arsenal vs Hull City Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 10
Premier League · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Emirates Stadium, London · updated 2026-10-24
Arsenal welcome Hull City to Emirates Stadium in London in Premier League Gameweek 10 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Arsenal have played 7 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.7 goals a game and winning 86% of them. At home they average 2.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate. Hull City have played 7 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 29% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Arsenal are narrow favourites at 56%, with the draw at 26% and Hull City at 17%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Arsenal 1.60, Hull City 0.78.
- Over 2.5 goals: 42% · both teams to score: 44%.
- Most likely score: 1–0 (14%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Arsenal: form and key numbers
In style Arsenal keep the ball, press high, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.76 a match created, 0.90 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.3).
- Shots: 12.4 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 61.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 57% of matches (25% at home).
- Both teams scored in 29% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.90.
Hull City: form and key numbers
In style Hull City are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.96 a match created, 1.52 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.3).
- Shots: 10.7 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 31.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 43% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.7 a match.
- Discipline: 3.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Arsenal vs Hull City: season averages side by side
| Arsenal | Per match this season | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 7 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 1.1 |
| 0.7 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.76 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.96 |
| 0.90 | xG conceded | 1.52 |
| 12.4 | Shots | 10.7 |
| 4.4 | On target | 3.4 |
| 61.3 | Possession % | 31.4 |
| 57% | Clean sheets % | 43% |
| 29% | Both teams scored % | 43% |
| 4.7 | Corners | 3.7 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 3.1 |
| 6.90 | Average rating | 6.76 |
Players to watch
Arsenal
- Ezri Konsa CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 61 · Secure passer, Duel winner (top 1% of his position)
- Ben White RB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 56 · Ball circulator, Hard to dribble past (top 12% of his position)
Hull City
- Konstantinos Tzolakis GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 67 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 1% of his position)
- Sorba Thomas LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 56 · Creator, Big-chance creator (top 12% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Declan Rice
Declan Rice, 27 · Arsenal · CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 72
Declan Rice, 27, plays as a central midfielder for Arsenal in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in passes and pass accuracy. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 72
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Passes | 78.64 / 90 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 89% |
| Long balls | 3.33 / 90 | 89% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.20 / 90 | 84% |
| Key passes | 1.67 / 90 | 81% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★★★★ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★★½ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Ball circulator, Secure passer, Long passer.
- What Declan Rice is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Declan Rice's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Arsenal vs Hull City prediction
Arsenal should have more of the ball, with Hull City likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Arsenal are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Hull City go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 1.60 for Arsenal and 0.78 for Hull City - with over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams scoring at 44%. Arsenal have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Arsenal 1-0 Hull City
Arsenal vs Hull City betting tips
- Tip 1: Arsenal to win 56% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 58% by the model, 2.38 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 8.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Premier League previews
- Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Saturday 24 October 2026
- Sunderland vs Leeds United Sunday 25 October 2026
- Chelsea vs Manchester United Saturday 31 October 2026
- Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Saturday 31 October 2026
- Hull City vs Ipswich Town Saturday 31 October 2026
- Coventry City vs Sunderland Saturday 31 October 2026
- Brentford vs Nottingham Forest Saturday 31 October 2026
- AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United Saturday 31 October 2026
Arsenal vs Hull City: questions and answers
When is Arsenal vs Hull City?
Arsenal vs Hull City is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 10.
Where is Arsenal vs Hull City played?
At Emirates Stadium, London, Arsenal's home ground.
Who will win Arsenal vs Hull City?
Arsenal are the favourites: Arsenal 56%, draw 26%, Hull City 17%. Our prediction is Arsenal 1-0 Hull City.
Who is the player to watch in Arsenal vs Hull City?
Declan Rice of Arsenal: a playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 72 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs Hull City?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Tags
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