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AS Roma 3–0 Sassuolo: Result, Report and Stats

This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.

Result: AS Roma 3 – 0 Sassuolo

Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.

AS Roma welcome Sassuolo to Stadio Olimpico in Roma in Serie A action on Sunday 8 November 2026.

AS Roma have played 11 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 73% of them. At home they average 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 63% win rate. Sassuolo have played 11 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.6 goals a game and winning 18% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate.

On the pre-match consensus, AS Roma are clear favourites at 71%, with the draw at 17% and Sassuolo at 12%.

Win probabilities

AS Roma71%home win
Draw17%draw
Sassuolo12%away win

The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 3.25 goals: 53%.

AS Roma: form and key numbers

In style AS Roma keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.

Sassuolo: form and key numbers

In style Sassuolo are happy without the ball.

AS Roma vs Sassuolo: season averages side by side

AS RomaPer matchSassuolo
2.32Expected goals (xG)1.27
1.23xG conceded1.94
2.82Goals1.45
19.4Shots12.6
6.5Shots on target4.5
2.5Big chances missed1.3
63.4Pressure share %36.6
17.1Tackles16.8
10.9Fouls10.0
1.6Yellow cards1.4

Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 11 and 11 measured matches.

AS Roma vs Sassuolo: head-to-head stats and key numbers

Head to head

In their last 3 meetings AS Roma won 3, drew 0 and lost 0.

DateHomeScoreAway
7 Nov 2026AS Roma3 – 0Sassuolo
10 Jan 2026AS Roma2 – 0Sassuolo
26 Oct 2025Sassuolo0 – 1AS Roma

Players to watch

AS Roma

Sassuolo

Scouting spotlight: Paulo Dybala

Paulo Dybala, 32 · Roma · SS · Link-up forward · Moneyball Score 83

Paulo Dybala, 32, plays as a second striker for Roma in Serie A. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.

Expected goals 85Key passes 97Expected assists 97Shots 85Successful dribbles 38Assists, luck taken out 97Goals, luck taken out 62Fouls won 91

Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average second striker, 90 the top tenth.

Positions he can play

  • SS · Second striker Natural, 83
  • LW · Winger Natural, 80
  • CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 77

Where he is strongest

FigureHis numberBetter than
Key passes4.54 / 9097%
Expected assists (est.)0.65 / 9097%
Assists, luck taken out0.66 / 9097%
Fouls won1.27 / 9091%
Expected goals0.35 / 9085%

Roles he suits

  • ★★★★★ Creative winger Winger
  • ★★★★★ Link-up forward Second striker
  • ★★★★½ Creator Attacking midfielder

Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator, Sets up goals from real chances.

In Moneyball Scout
  • What Paulo Dybala is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
  • How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
  • The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
  • His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age

Open Paulo Dybala's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month

AS Roma vs Sassuolo prediction

AS Roma should have more of the ball, with Sassuolo likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; AS Roma work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 4.4 goals - 3.41 for AS Roma and 0.99 for Sassuolo - with over 2.5 goals at 81% and both teams scoring at 61%. AS Roma have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.

Prediction: AS Roma 3-1 Sassuolo

AS Roma vs Sassuolo: what the numbers say

  1. 1. AS Roma win, the likeliest result 71% on the pre-match consensus
  2. 2. 4 or more goals 64% by the model, 4.40 goals expected
  3. 3. Both teams to score: yes 61% by the model
  4. 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.0 cards a match between them
  5. 5. 9 or more corners 10.2 corners a match between them

Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.

Moneyball's reading

The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.

Follow AS Roma vs Sassuolo live

AS Roma vs Sassuolo: questions and answers

When is AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

AS Roma vs Sassuolo is on Sunday 8 November 2026, in Serie A.

Where is AS Roma vs Sassuolo played?

At Stadio Olimpico, Roma, AS Roma's home ground.

Who will win AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

AS Roma are the favourites: AS Roma 71%, draw 17%, Sassuolo 12%. Our prediction is AS Roma 3-1 Sassuolo.

Who is the player to watch in AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

Paulo Dybala of Roma: a link-up forward with a Moneyball Score of 83 against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues.

How many goals will there be in AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

Moneyball's model expects about 4.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 81%.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.