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AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava Prediction and Betting Tips | UEFA Champions League Gameweek 3

AS Roma welcome Slovan Bratislava to Stadio Olimpico in Roma in UEFA Champions League Gameweek 3 action on Tuesday 20 October 2026.

AS Roma have played 7 matches in UEFA Champions League this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.4 goals a game and winning 71% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 60% win rate. Slovan Bratislava have played 8 matches in UEFA Champions League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 75% win rate.

On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, AS Roma are clear favourites at 79%, with the draw at 13% and Slovan Bratislava at 8%.

The odds

AS Roma1.1479%
Draw7.1013%
Slovan Bratislava11.508%

Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.5% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is AS Roma -2.25 at 1.93, Slovan Bratislava at 1.97. The main goals line is 3.75: over 2.02, under 1.86, which gives over 48%.

AS Roma: form and key numbers

In style AS Roma keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.

Slovan Bratislava: form and key numbers

AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava: season averages side by side

AS RomaPer matchSlovan Bratislava
2.16Expected goals (xG)0.61
1.05xG conceded–
2.29Goals1.38
18.1Shots12.0
6.0Shots on target4.0
2.1Big chances missed0.3
61.1Pressure share %–
18.6Tackles8.1
12.0Fouls12.5
1.9Yellow cards1.8

Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 7 and 8 measured matches.

AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava: head-to-head stats and key numbers

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings AS Roma won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

DateHomeScoreAway
25 Aug 2011AS Roma1 – 1Slovan Bratislava
18 Aug 2011Slovan Bratislava1 – 0AS Roma

Players to watch

AS Roma

Scouting spotlight: Donyell Malen

Donyell Malen, 27 · Roma · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 74

Donyell Malen, 27, plays as a centre-forward for Roma in Serie A. Strongest for his role in expected goals and goals. Weakest in aerial duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.

Expected goals 98Goals 96Shots 96Shots on target 60Shot quality 90Aerial duels won 7Duels won 50Key passes 88Big chances missed 7

Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.

Positions he can play

  • ST · Centre-forward Natural, 74
  • SS · Second striker Competent, 67

Where he is strongest

FigureHis numberBetter than
Expected goals1.14 / 9098%
Goals1.36 / 9096%
Shots4.97 / 9096%
Shot quality (xG per shot)0.23 xG/shot90%
Key passes1.81 / 9088%

Roles he suits

  • ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
  • ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
  • ★★★★ Inside forward Winger

Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, Clinical finisher, High shot volume.

In Moneyball Scout
  • What Donyell Malen is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
  • How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
  • The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
  • His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age

Open Donyell Malen's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month

AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava prediction

Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 2.39 for AS Roma and 0.72 for Slovan Bratislava - with over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 47%. AS Roma have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.

Prediction: AS Roma 2-0 Slovan Bratislava

The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre

AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava betting tips

  1. Tip 1: AS Roma to win 79% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
  2. Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 60% by the model, 3.11 goals expected
  3. Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.6 cards a match between them
  4. Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 8.0 corners a match between them

Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Moneyball's pick

The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. This match is one of the free picks of its schedule.

Open AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava in the Match Centre Follow it live

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AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava: questions and answers

When is AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?

AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava is on Tuesday 20 October 2026, in UEFA Champions League Gameweek 3.

Where is AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava played?

At Stadio Olimpico, Roma, AS Roma's home ground.

Who will win AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?

AS Roma are the favourites: AS Roma 79%, draw 13%, Slovan Bratislava 8%. Our prediction is AS Roma 2-0 Slovan Bratislava.

Who is the player to watch in AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?

Donyell Malen of Roma: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 74 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.

How many goals will there be in AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?

Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.