Aston Villa 6-0 Fenerbahçe: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Champions League Matchday 2 · Wednesday 14 October 2026 · Villa Park, Birmingham · referee I. Kružliak · full time
Full time: Aston Villa 6-0 Fenerbahçe
Aston Villa beat Fenerbahçe 6-0 in Champions League Matchday 2 on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at Villa Park. The goals: Johan Manzambi 12', Nicolas Jackson 31', Nicolas Jackson 39', Ross Barkley 68', Ross Barkley 72', Tammy Abraham 90'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Aston Villa won it
Johan Manzambi put Aston Villa ahead in the 12th minute. Nicolas Jackson made it 2-0 to Aston Villa in the 31st minute, set up by Boubacar Kamara. Nicolas Jackson made it 3-0 to Aston Villa in the 39th minute, set up by Ross Barkley. Ross Barkley from the penalty spot made it 4-0 to Aston Villa in the 68th minute. Ross Barkley made it 5-0 to Aston Villa in the 72nd minute, set up by Ibrahim Mbaye. Tammy Abraham made it 6-0 to Aston Villa in the 90th minute, set up by Alysson.
It was 3-0 at half-time.
Nicolas Jackson scored twice.
Ross Barkley scored twice.
The referee, I. Kružliak, showed 2 yellow cards: 0 to Aston Villa and 2 to Fenerbahçe.
Aston Villa: U. Emery Etxegoien, 4-2-3-1 · Fenerbahçe: İ. Kartal, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75 at 1.83, and on 6-0 it won.
The estimate's most likely result was an Aston Villa win at 53%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.0 goals and there were 6.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 58%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 58%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Aston Villa had 11 shots on target, Fenerbahçe 4.
Fenerbahçe's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Fenerbahçe had 55% of the ball, but Aston Villa took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Aston Villa came into it with 2 Champions League matches played, scoring 4.5 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 2.76 expected goals for and – against, and had won 100% of their matches.
Fenerbahçe came into it with 8 Champions League matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.74 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe: the match in numbers
| Aston Villa | Match statistics | Fenerbahçe |
|---|---|---|
| 45% | Ball possession | 55% |
| 20 | Total shots | 15 |
| 11 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 3 | Big chances | 3 |
| 389 | Total passes | 470 |
| 90% | Pass accuracy | 90% |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 17 | Tackles | 12 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Ross Barkley (Aston Villa), rated 9.1 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals, 1 assist.
Aston Villa
- Ross Barkley 9.1 2 goals, 1 assist
- Nicolas Jackson 9.1 2 goals
- Ibrahim Mbaye 7.7 1 assist
- Zion Suzuki 7.7
- Johan Manzambi 7.7 1 goal
Fenerbahçe
- İrfan Can Kahveci 7.4
- Oğuz Aydın 6.6
- Romelu Lukaku 6.5
- Dorgeles Nene 6.5
- Mason Greenwood 6.4
The lowest-rated starter was İsmail Yüksek at 5.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Aston Villa: Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Saturday 17 October 2026 · Premier League
- Fenerbahçe: Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha Tuesday 20 October 2026 · Champions League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe
What was the score in Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?
Aston Villa 6-0 Fenerbahçe (half-time 3-0), Champions League, Wednesday 14 October 2026.
Who scored in Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?
Johan Manzambi 12', Nicolas Jackson 31', Nicolas Jackson 39', Ross Barkley 68', Ross Barkley 72', Tammy Abraham 90'.
Did Moneyball predict Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe correctly?
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75 at 1.83, and on 6-0 it won.
Who was man of the match in Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?
Ross Barkley, rated 9.1 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?
I. Kružliak.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.