Atalanta 3-1 Pafos FC: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Atalanta won it

Atalanta struck first through Eljif Elmas in the 1st minute, set up by Giacomo Raspadori. Giacomo Raspadori from the penalty spot made it 2-0 to Atalanta in the 18th minute. Gianluca Scamacca made it 3-0 to Atalanta in the 44th minute, set up by Charles De Ketelaere. Biel made it 3-1 to Pafos FC in the 88th minute, set up by Anderson Silva.

It was 3-0 at half-time.

The referee, A. Ladebäck, showed 2 yellow cards: 0 to Atalanta and 2 to Pafos FC.

Atalanta: M. Sarri, 4-2-3-1 · Pafos FC: R. Andrade Silva Sá Pinto, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Pafos +0.50 at 1.83, and on the half-time score, 3-0 it lost.

The estimate's most likely result was an Atalanta win at 66%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (11%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.1 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 60%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 54%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Atalanta had 7 shots on target, Pafos FC 5.

Atalanta had 65% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Atalanta came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.3 a match, with 1.70 expected goals for and – against, and had won 67% of their matches.

Pafos FC came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.29 expected goals for and – against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Atalanta vs Pafos FC: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Atalanta

• Charles De Ketelaere 8.2 1 assist
• Giacomo Raspadori 8.2 1 goal, 1 assist
• Eljif Elmas 7.9 1 goal
• Gianluca Scamacca 7.7 1 goal
• Nicola Zalewski 7.6

Pafos FC

• Biel 7.6 1 goal
• Anderson Silva 7.3 1 assist
• Ivan Šunjić 6.8
• Ken Sema 6.8
• Alexandre Brito 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Bruno at 5.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Atalanta: AC Milan vs Atalanta Sunday 18 October 2026 · Serie A
• Pafos FC: Pafos FC vs Riga Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa Conference League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Atalanta vs Pafos FC

What was the score in Atalanta vs Pafos FC?

Atalanta 3-1 Pafos FC (half-time 3-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.

Who scored in Atalanta vs Pafos FC?

Eljif Elmas 1', Giacomo Raspadori 18', Gianluca Scamacca 44', Biel 88'.

Did Moneyball predict Atalanta vs Pafos FC correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Pafos +0.50 at 1.83, and on the half-time score, 3-0 it lost.

Who was man of the match in Atalanta vs Pafos FC?

Charles De Ketelaere, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Atalanta vs Pafos FC?

A. Ladebäck.