Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 10
La Liga · Sunday 25 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-18
Athletic Bilbao welcome Getafe to San Mamés Barria in Bilbao in La Liga Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 25 October 2026.
Athletic Bilbao have played 7 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 29% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate. Getafe have played 8 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Athletic Bilbao are narrow favourites at 57%, with the draw at 26% and Getafe at 17%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.3% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Athletic Bilbao -1 at 2.14, Getafe at 1.78. The main goals line is 2.25: over 1.98, under 1.90, which gives over 49%.
Athletic Bilbao: form and key numbers
In style Athletic Bilbao keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.45 a match created, 1.27 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.2).
- Shots: 14.7 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 53.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 57% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 29% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Getafe: form and key numbers
In style Getafe are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.84 a match created, 1.48 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.8).
- Shots: 10.8 a match, 2.5 on target.
- Possession: 37.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 25% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 3.4 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.67.
Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe: season averages side by side
| Athletic Bilbao | Per match | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.84 |
| 1.27 | xG conceded | 1.48 |
| 1.00 | Goals | 0.50 |
| 14.7 | Shots | 10.8 |
| 4.3 | Shots on target | 2.5 |
| 1.3 | Big chances missed | 0.5 |
| 54.9 | Pressure share % | 41.5 |
| 16.1 | Tackles | 12.6 |
| 11.7 | Fouls | 14.3 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 3.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 7 and 8 measured matches.
Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Athletic Bilbao have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Athletic Bilbao 3, Getafe 4 - 1.8 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Getafe 2-0 Athletic Bilbao (April 5th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Athletic Bilbao won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | Getafe | 2 – 0 | Athletic Bilbao |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 – 1 | Getafe |
| 15 May 2025 | Getafe | 0 – 2 | Athletic Bilbao |
| 15 Aug 2024 | Athletic Bilbao | 1 – 1 | Getafe |
Players to watch
Athletic Bilbao
- Cem Gürsoy CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 63 · Dribbler, Long passer (top 13% of his position)
- Unai Simón GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 60 · Long passer, Dominant in the air (top 35% of his position)
Getafe
- David Soria GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 59 · Long passer, Box defender (top 1% of his position)
- Zaid Romero CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 48 · Reads the game, Long passer (top 8% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Yuri Berchiche
Yuri Berchiche, 36 · Athletic Club · LB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 69
Yuri Berchiche, 36, plays as a full-back for Athletic Club in La Liga. Strongest for his role in passes and pass accuracy. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 69
- RB · Full-back Accomplished, 65
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Passes | 67.93 / 90 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy | 92% | 95% |
| Key passes | 1.47 / 90 | 92% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.17 / 90 | 88% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.74 / 90 | 81% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★½ Defensive full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Ball circulator, Secure passer, Chance creator.
- What Yuri Berchiche is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Yuri Berchiche's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe prediction
Athletic Bilbao should have more of the ball, with Getafe likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Athletic Bilbao work the ball wide and cross; Getafe go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.1 goals - 1.37 for Athletic Bilbao and 0.70 for Getafe - with over 2.5 goals at 34% and both teams scoring at 38%. Athletic Bilbao have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Getafe
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe betting tips
- Tip 1: Athletic Bilbao to win 57% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 66% by the model, 2.07 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: no 62% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 9.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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- Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano Monday 19 October 2026
- Levante vs Athletic Bilbao Wednesday 21 October 2026
Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe: questions and answers
When is Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe?
Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe is on Sunday 25 October 2026, in La Liga Gameweek 10.
Where is Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe played?
At San Mamés Barria, Bilbao, Athletic Bilbao's home ground.
Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe?
Athletic Bilbao are the favourites: Athletic Bilbao 57%, draw 26%, Getafe 17%. Our prediction is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Getafe.
Who is the player to watch in Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe?
Yuri Berchiche of Athletic Club: a inverted full-back with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 34%.
Tags
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