Atletico Madrid 1–2 Barcelona: Result, Report and Stats
La Liga · Monday 9 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: Atletico Madrid 1 – 2 Barcelona
- Before kick-off the pre-match consensus gave Barcelona win 47%. The result went the way the consensus leaned.
- 3 goals in the match.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.
Atletico Madrid welcome Barcelona to Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid in La Liga action on Monday 9 November 2026.
Atletico Madrid have played 12 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 75% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 44% win rate. Barcelona have played 12 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 4.0 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 92% of them. Away from home they average 4.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 55% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Barcelona are narrow favourites at 47%, with the draw at 23% and Atletico Madrid at 30%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 3.5 goals: 51%.
Atletico Madrid: form and key numbers
In style Atletico Madrid keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.60 a match created, 1.19 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.8).
- Shots: 16.6 a match, 5.9 on target.
- Possession: 57.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 42% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.97.
Barcelona: form and key numbers
In style Barcelona keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 2.97 a match created, 0.97 conceded (goals minus xG: +12.4).
- Shots: 20.1 a match, 7.8 on target.
- Possession: 69.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.17.
Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona: season averages side by side
| Atletico Madrid | Per match | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| 1.60 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.97 |
| 1.19 | xG conceded | 0.97 |
| 1.92 | Goals | 4.00 |
| 16.6 | Shots | 20.1 |
| 5.9 | Shots on target | 7.8 |
| 1.7 | Big chances missed | 3.6 |
| 63.2 | Pressure share % | 82.8 |
| 17.4 | Tackles | 16.2 |
| 11.8 | Fouls | 10.8 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 12 and 12 measured matches.
Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Atletico Madrid have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of the last 10 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Atletico Madrid 14, Barcelona 16 - 3.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Atletico Madrid 1-2 Barcelona (November 8th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 6 meetings Atletico Madrid won 1, drew 0 and lost 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Atletico Madrid | 1 – 2 | Barcelona |
| 14 Apr 2026 | Atletico Madrid | 1 – 2 | Barcelona |
| 8 Apr 2026 | Barcelona | 0 – 2 | Atletico Madrid |
| 4 Apr 2026 | Atletico Madrid | 1 – 2 | Barcelona |
| 2 Dec 2025 | Barcelona | 3 – 1 | Atletico Madrid |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Atletico Madrid | 2 – 4 | Barcelona |
Players to watch
Atletico Madrid
- Morten Hjulmand DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 76 · Secure passer, Hard to dribble past (top 12% of his position)
- Pablo Barrios CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 75 · Dribbler, Ball circulator (top 2% of his position)
Barcelona
- Dani Olmo AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 84 · Creator, Big-chance creator (top 1% of his position)
- Karim Adeyemi RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 76 · Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Lamine Yamal
Lamine Yamal, 19 · FC Barcelona · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 91
Lamine Yamal, 19, plays as a winger for FC Barcelona in La Liga. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and shots. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 91
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 86
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 83
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.62 / 90 | 100% |
| Shots | 5.79 / 90 | 100% |
| Big chances created | 1.36 / 90 | 100% |
| Expected goals | 0.68 / 90 | 99% |
| Key passes | 3.80 / 90 | 99% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
Scout's notes: Creator, High shot volume, Big-chance creator.
- What Lamine Yamal is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Lamine Yamal's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona prediction
Barcelona should have more of the ball; both like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals - 1.45 for Atletico Madrid and 2.09 for Barcelona - with over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 68%. Barcelona have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Atletico Madrid 1-3 Barcelona
Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona: what the numbers say
- 1. Barcelona unbeaten (win or draw) 70% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 69% by the model, 3.54 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 68% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.8 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 12.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona: questions and answers
When is Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?
Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona is on Monday 9 November 2026, in La Liga.
Where is Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona played?
At Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Atletico Madrid's home ground.
Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?
Barcelona are the favourites: Atletico Madrid 30%, draw 23%, Barcelona 47%. Our prediction is Atletico Madrid 1-3 Barcelona.
Who is the player to watch in Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?
Lamine Yamal of FC Barcelona: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 91 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.