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Atletico Tucuman 1–2 Argentinos Juniors: Result, Report and Stats

This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.

Result: Atletico Tucuman 1 – 2 Argentinos Juniors

Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.

Atletico Tucuman welcome Argentinos Juniors to Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro in San Miguel de Tucumán in Liga Profesional action on Monday 2 November 2026.

Atletico Tucuman have played 32 matches in Liga Profesional this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 22% of them. At home they average 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 16 matches, with a 29% win rate. Argentinos Juniors have played 35 matches in Liga Profesional this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 54% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 16 matches, with a 32% win rate.

On the pre-match consensus, there is little to separate them: Atletico Tucuman 32%, the draw 31%, Argentinos Juniors 37%.

Win probabilities

Atletico Tucuman32%home win
Draw31%draw
Argentinos Juniors37%away win

The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2 goals: 51%.

Atletico Tucuman: form and key numbers

In style Atletico Tucuman are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.

Argentinos Juniors: form and key numbers

In style Argentinos Juniors keep the ball, cross a lot.

Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors: season averages side by side

Atletico TucumanPer matchArgentinos Juniors
1.06Expected goals (xG)1.25
1.08xG conceded1.24
0.97Goals1.17
11.5Shots14.0
3.4Shots on target4.7
0.8Big chances missed0.9
39.3Pressure share %54.3
18.8Tackles17.1
12.5Fouls10.8
2.3Yellow cards2.4

Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 32 and 35 measured matches.

Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors: head-to-head stats and key numbers

Head to head

In their last 3 meetings Atletico Tucuman won 0, drew 1 and lost 2.

DateHomeScoreAway
3 Nov 2026Atletico Tucuman1 – 2Argentinos Juniors
19 Apr 2026Argentinos Juniors1 – 0Atletico Tucuman
30 Sep 2024Argentinos Juniors0 – 0Atletico Tucuman

Players to watch

Atletico Tucuman

Argentinos Juniors

Scouting spotlight: Francisco Álvarez

Francisco Álvarez, 26 · Argentinos Juniors · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 54

Francisco Álvarez, 26, plays as a centre-back for Argentinos Juniors in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in long balls and interceptions. Weakest in blocked shots. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.

Aerial duels won 84Clearances 63Interceptions 87Tackles 40Blocked shots 5Duels won 70Passes 54Pass accuracy 37Long balls 91Dribbled past 8

Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.

Positions he can play

  • CB · Centre-back Natural, 54

Where he is strongest

FigureHis numberBetter than
Long balls4.43 / 9091%
Interceptions2.14 / 9087%
Aerial duels won3.33 / 9084%
Duels won5.86 / 9070%
Clearances6.58 / 9063%

Roles he suits

  • ★★★ Stopper Centre-back
  • ★★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
  • ★★★ Ball-playing centre-back Centre-back

Scout's notes: Long passer, Reads the game, Dominant in the air.

In Moneyball Scout
  • What Francisco Álvarez is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
  • How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
  • The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
  • His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age

Open Francisco Álvarez's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month

Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors prediction

Argentinos Juniors should have more of the ball, with Atletico Tucuman likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Atletico Tucuman are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Argentinos Juniors work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 1.8 goals - 0.90 for Atletico Tucuman and 0.94 for Argentinos Juniors - with over 2.5 goals at 28% and both teams scoring at 37%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.

Prediction: Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Argentinos Juniors

Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors: what the numbers say

  1. 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 37%
  2. 2. 1 goal or fewer 44% by the model, 1.85 goals expected
  3. 3. Both teams to score: no 63% by the model
  4. 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 16.7 cards a match between them
  5. 5. 10 or more corners 10.9 corners a match between them

Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.

Moneyball's reading

The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.

Follow Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors live

Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors: questions and answers

When is Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors?

Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors is on Monday 2 November 2026, in Liga Profesional.

Where is Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors played?

At Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro, San Miguel de Tucumán, Atletico Tucuman's home ground.

Who will win Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors?

It is close: Atletico Tucuman 32%, draw 31%, Argentinos Juniors 37%. Our prediction is Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Argentinos Juniors.

Who is the player to watch in Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors?

Francisco Álvarez of Argentinos Juniors: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 54 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors?

Moneyball's model expects about 1.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 28%.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.