Austria vs Israel: Prediction, Odds and Preview
UEFA Nations League B · Friday 25 September 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-07
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Austria host Israel in the UEFA Nations League B on Friday 25 September 2026. The bookmakers make Austria clear favourites at 65%, with the draw at 20% and Israel at 15%, once the margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.5% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Austria -1.25 at 1.80, Israel at 1.89. The main goals line is 3: over 1.76, under 1.90, which gives over 52%.
Form in numbers
- Israel create more: 2.11 expected goals a match against 1.97 for Austria.
- Austria give away less, 1.15 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Austria 11.9 (– on target), Israel 14.1 (– on target).
| Austria | Per match | Israel |
|---|---|---|
| 1.97 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.11 |
| 1.15 | xG conceded | 1.94 |
| 2.08 | Goals | 2.11 |
| 11.9 | Shots | 14.1 |
| 16.6 | Tackles | 13.5 |
| 12.9 | Fouls | 9.3 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 1.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 34 and 20 measured matches.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.