Auxerre 0–1 Paris FC: Result, Report and Stats
Ligue 1 · Sunday 8 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: Auxerre 0 – 1 Paris FC
- Before kick-off the pre-match consensus gave Paris FC win 54%. The result went the way the consensus leaned.
- 1 goal in the match.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.
Auxerre welcome Paris FC to Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps in Auxerre in Ligue 1 action on Sunday 8 November 2026.
Auxerre have played 10 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.4 goals a game and winning 30% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 67% win rate. Paris FC have played 10 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 60% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Paris FC are narrow favourites at 54%, with the draw at 25% and Auxerre at 21%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.75 goals: 50%.
Auxerre: form and key numbers
In style Auxerre are happy without the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.13 a match created, 1.85 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.7).
- Shots: 11.1 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 44.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 10% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 80% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.65.
Paris FC: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.59 a match created, 1.06 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.1).
- Shots: 13.5 a match, 4.9 on target.
- Possession: 51.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Auxerre vs Paris FC: season averages side by side
| Auxerre | Per match | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.59 |
| 1.85 | xG conceded | 1.06 |
| 1.30 | Goals | 1.70 |
| 11.1 | Shots | 13.5 |
| 4.5 | Shots on target | 4.9 |
| 1.1 | Big chances missed | 0.9 |
| 40.7 | Pressure share % | 53.8 |
| 14.1 | Tackles | 17.2 |
| 16.3 | Fouls | 13.9 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 10 and 10 measured matches.
Auxerre vs Paris FC: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Auxerre have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 of the last 3 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Auxerre 1, Paris FC 2 - 1.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Auxerre 0-1 Paris FC (November 7th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 3 meetings Auxerre won 0, drew 2 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | Auxerre | 0 – 1 | Paris FC |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Auxerre | 0 – 0 | Paris FC |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Paris FC | 1 – 1 | Auxerre |
Players to watch
Auxerre
- Christ Makosso CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 54 · Box defender, Reads the game (top 8% of his position)
- Romain Faivre AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 54 · Dribbler, Draws fouls (top 15% of his position)
Paris FC
- Pierre Lees-Melou DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 61 · Ball-winner, Secure passer (top 12% of his position)
- Maxime Lopez DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 57 · Secure passer, Ball circulator (top 4% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Lassine Sinayoko
Lassine Sinayoko, 26 · Paris · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 72
Lassine Sinayoko, 26, plays as a centre-forward for Paris in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in key passes and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in aerial duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 72
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 69
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 63
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 2.17 / 90 | 94% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 xG/shot | 86% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.70 / 90 | 85% |
| Expected goals | 0.63 / 90 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 52% | 80% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Takes high-quality shots, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring.
- What Lassine Sinayoko is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Lassine Sinayoko's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Auxerre vs Paris FC prediction
Paris FC should have more of the ball, with Auxerre likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Auxerre like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.11 for Auxerre and 1.91 for Paris FC - with over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 58%. Paris FC have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Auxerre 1-2 Paris FC
Auxerre vs Paris FC: what the numbers say
- 1. Paris FC unbeaten (win or draw) 79% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 58% by the model, 3.02 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 58% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.9 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 corners or fewer 8.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Auxerre vs Paris FC: questions and answers
When is Auxerre vs Paris FC?
Auxerre vs Paris FC is on Sunday 8 November 2026, in Ligue 1.
Where is Auxerre vs Paris FC played?
At Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre, Auxerre's home ground.
Who will win Auxerre vs Paris FC?
Paris FC are the favourites: Auxerre 21%, draw 25%, Paris FC 54%. Our prediction is Auxerre 1-2 Paris FC.
Who is the player to watch in Auxerre vs Paris FC?
Lassine Sinayoko of Paris: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 72 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Auxerre vs Paris FC?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.