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Banfield 2-2 Atlético Tucumán: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Banfield 2-2 Atlético Tucumán

Banfield and Atlético Tucumán drew 2-2 in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 16 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Estadio Florencio Solá. The goals: Juan Gabriel Rodríguez 14', Juan Gabriel Rodríguez 18', Alexander Machado 58', Lautaro Gómez 78'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How the match unfolded

The opening goal came in the 14th minute: Juan Gabriel Rodríguez for Atlético Tucumán, set up by Lautaro Godoy. Juan Gabriel Rodríguez made it 0-2 to Atlético Tucumán in the 18th minute, set up by Lautaro Godoy. Alexander Machado made it 1-2 to Banfield in the 58th minute, set up by Tomás Adoryán. Banfield levelled at 2-2 in the 78th minute through Lautaro Gómez.

Atlético Tucumán led by two and were pegged back: Banfield came back for a draw.

It was 0-2 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Juan Gabriel Rodríguez scored twice.

The referee, M. Manduca, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Banfield and 1 to Atlético Tucumán.

Banfield: P. Troglio, 4-3-3 · Atlético Tucumán: J. Falcioni, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made an Atlético Tucumán win the likeliest outcome (37%), and a draw, at 29%, is what happened.

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.4 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 44%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 50%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-06, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.42 for Banfield and 1.02 for Atlético Tucumán.

Banfield scored about 1.6 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Banfield had 4 shots on target, Atlético Tucumán 4.

Banfield had 60% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Banfield came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.11 expected goals for and 1.68 against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Atlético Tucumán came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.06 expected goals for and 1.08 against, and had won 22% of their matches.

Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán: the match in numbers

BanfieldMatch statisticsAtlético Tucumán
60%Ball possession40%
0.42Expected goals (xG)1.02
15Total shots8
4Shots on target4
3Big chances1
449Total passes315
75%Pass accuracy63%
6Corners4
9Fouls8
4Offsides0
10Tackles18
2Saves2
2Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Juan Gabriel Rodríguez (Atlético Tucumán), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Banfield

Atlético Tucumán

The lowest-rated starter was Ignacio Abraham at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

Questions about Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán

What was the score in Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán?

Banfield 2-2 Atlético Tucumán (half-time 0-2), Liga Profesional Argentina, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán?

Juan Gabriel Rodríguez 14', Juan Gabriel Rodríguez 18', Alexander Machado 58', Lautaro Gómez 78'.

Did Moneyball predict Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán correctly?

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made an Atlético Tucumán win the likeliest outcome (37%), and a draw, at 29%, is what happened.

Who was man of the match in Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán?

Juan Gabriel Rodríguez, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán?

M. Manduca.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.