Boca Juniors 1-0 Defensa y Justicia: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Boca Juniors won it

The opening goal came in the 90th minute (+6): Enner Valencia for Boca Juniors, set up by Lautaro Di Lollo. There was no time to answer it.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, S. Zunino, showed 5 yellow cards: 1 to Boca Juniors and 4 to Defensa y Justicia.

Boca Juniors: R. Arruabarrena, 4-2-3-1 · Defensa y Justicia: J. Vaccari, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Boca Juniors win the most likely outcome at 55%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-0 rather than 1-0.

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.5 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 45%; with 1 goal the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 47%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.44 for Boca Juniors and 2.17 for Defensa y Justicia.

Defensa y Justicia left about 2.2 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Defensa y Justicia created the better chances, 2.17 xG to 0.44, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Boca Juniors to create more, and Defensa y Justicia did.

Boca Juniors had 5 shots on target, Defensa y Justicia 1.

Boca Juniors had 62% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Boca Juniors came into it with 33 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.52 expected goals for and 0.79 against, and had won 52% of their matches.

Defensa y Justicia came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.18 expected goals for and 1.14 against, and had won 38% of their matches.

Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Lautaro Di Lollo (Boca Juniors), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Boca Juniors

• Lautaro Di Lollo 7.8 1 assist
• Sebastián Villa 7.6
• Facundo Herrera 7.6
• Santiago Ascacíbar 7.5
• Lautaro Blanco 7.4

Defensa y Justicia

• David Martínez 7.3
• César Pérez 7.2
• Damián Fernández 7.0
• Maximiliano Porcel 6.8
• Jeremías Lucco 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Leandro Fernández at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Boca Juniors: Boca Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia Thursday 26 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
• Defensa y Justicia: Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central Saturday 21 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia

What was the score in Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia?

Boca Juniors 1-0 Defensa y Justicia (half-time 0-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia?

Enner Valencia 90+6'.

Did Moneyball predict Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia correctly?

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Boca Juniors win the most likely outcome at 55%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-0 rather than 1-0.

Who was man of the match in Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia?

Lautaro Di Lollo, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia?

S. Zunino.