Borneo FC vs PSM Makassar Prediction and Stats
Super League · Saturday 7 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Borneo FC welcome PSM Makassar to Stadion Segiri in Samarinda in Super League action on Saturday 7 November 2026.
Borneo FC have played 8 matches in Super League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 38% of them. At home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 33% win rate. PSM Makassar have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average.
On the pre-match consensus, Borneo FC are narrow favourites at 59%, with the draw at 23% and PSM Makassar at 18%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.75 goals: 51%.
Borneo FC: form and key numbers
In style Borneo FC press high, cross a lot, take players on.
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 50.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.57.
Borneo FC vs PSM Makassar: season averages side by side
| Borneo FC | Per match | PSM Makassar |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | Expected goals (xG) | – |
| 1.00 | Goals | – |
| 11.6 | Shots | – |
| 4.0 | Shots on target | – |
| 0.4 | Big chances missed | – |
| 58.2 | Pressure share % | – |
| 0.9 | Tackles | – |
| 9.4 | Fouls | – |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | – |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and – measured matches.
Players to watch
Borneo FC
- Kadú GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 9 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 3% of his position)
- Aditya Warman DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 4 · Secure passer, Hard to dribble past (top 25% of his position)
Borneo FC vs PSM Makassar prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 1.23 for Borneo FC and 1.17 for PSM Makassar - with over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams scoring at 49%. Borneo FC have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Borneo FC 2-0 PSM Makassar
Borneo FC vs PSM Makassar: what the numbers say
- 1. Borneo FC win, the likeliest result 59% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 57% by the model, 2.40 goals expected
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Borneo FC vs PSM Makassar: questions and answers
When is Borneo FC vs PSM Makassar?
Borneo FC vs PSM Makassar is on Saturday 7 November 2026, in Super League.
Where is Borneo FC vs PSM Makassar played?
At Stadion Segiri, Samarinda, Borneo FC's home ground.
Who will win Borneo FC vs PSM Makassar?
Borneo FC are the favourites: Borneo FC 59%, draw 23%, PSM Makassar 18%. Our prediction is Borneo FC 2-0 PSM Makassar.
How many goals will there be in Borneo FC vs PSM Makassar?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.