Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction and Betting Tips
Bundesliga · Sunday 25 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-18
Borussia Dortmund welcome Eintracht Frankfurt to Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund in Bundesliga action on Sunday 25 October 2026.
Borussia Dortmund have played 6 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.7 goals a game and winning 67% of them. At home they average 2.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate. Eintracht Frankfurt have played 6 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.7 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 3.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Borussia Dortmund are clear favourites at 63%, with the draw at 19% and Eintracht Frankfurt at 17%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Borussia Dortmund -1.25 at 1.97, Eintracht Frankfurt at 1.93. The main goals line is 3.5: over 1.89, under 1.99, which gives over 51%.
Borussia Dortmund: form and key numbers
In style Borussia Dortmund keep the ball, press high, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.74 a match created, 0.92 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.6).
- Shots: 15.2 a match, 5.5 on target.
- Possession: 55.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 67% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.00.
Eintracht Frankfurt: form and key numbers
In style Eintracht Frankfurt are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.73 a match created, 2.31 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.4).
- Shots: 14.7 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 51.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: season averages side by side
| Borussia Dortmund | Per match | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| 1.74 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.73 |
| 0.92 | xG conceded | 2.31 |
| 1.83 | Goals | 1.67 |
| 15.2 | Shots | 14.7 |
| 5.5 | Shots on target | 5.8 |
| 2.0 | Big chances missed | 2.2 |
| 59.3 | Pressure share % | 54.6 |
| 16.8 | Tackles | 17.2 |
| 11.2 | Fouls | 10.3 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 6 measured matches.
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Borussia Dortmund have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Borussia Dortmund 8, Eintracht Frankfurt 7 - 3.8 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Eintracht Frankfurt (May 8th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Borussia Dortmund won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 May 2026 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 – 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 9 Jan 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 – 3 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 17 Jan 2025 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 – 0 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Borussia Dortmund | 2 – 0 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
Players to watch
Borussia Dortmund
- Waldemar Anton CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 77 · Reads the game, Box defender (top 1% of his position)
- Felix Nmecha CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 68 · Secure passer, Dribbler (top 10% of his position)
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Robin Koch CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 72 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 1% of his position)
- Lilian Brassier CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 69 · Reads the game, Duel winner (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Younes Ebnoutalib
Younes Ebnoutalib, 23 · Eintracht Frankfurt · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 72
Younes Ebnoutalib, 23, plays as a centre-forward for Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in goals and expected goals. Weakest in aerial duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 72
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 / 90 | 92% |
| Expected goals | 0.78 / 90 | 89% |
| Shots | 3.90 / 90 | 82% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 xG/shot | 80% |
| Key passes | 1.30 / 90 | 68% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★½ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: Clinical finisher, Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume.
- What Younes Ebnoutalib is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Younes Ebnoutalib's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction
Borussia Dortmund should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals - 2.40 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.05 for Eintracht Frankfurt - with over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 60%. Borussia Dortmund have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt betting tips
- Tip 1: Borussia Dortmund to win 63% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 67% by the model, 3.45 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 60% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 10.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: questions and answers
When is Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt is on Sunday 25 October 2026, in the Bundesliga.
Where is Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt played?
At Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, Borussia Dortmund's home ground.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Borussia Dortmund are the favourites: Borussia Dortmund 63%, draw 19%, Eintracht Frankfurt 17%. Our prediction is Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt.
Who is the player to watch in Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Younes Ebnoutalib of Eintracht Frankfurt: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 72 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Tags
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