Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction and Betting Tips | Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Bundesliga · Sunday 18 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-17
Borussia Mönchengladbach welcome TSG Hoffenheim to Stadion im Borussia-Park in Mönchengladbach in Bundesliga Gameweek 6 action on Sunday 18 October 2026.
Borussia Mönchengladbach have played 5 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 3.6 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 3.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate. TSG Hoffenheim have played 5 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.6 goals a game and winning 20% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, TSG Hoffenheim are narrow favourites at 46%, with the draw at 24% and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 29%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Borussia Mönchengladbach +0.5 at 1.94, TSG Hoffenheim at 1.96. The main goals line is 3.5: over 2.01, under 1.88, which gives over 48%.
Borussia Mönchengladbach: form and key numbers
In style Borussia Mönchengladbach are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.71 a match created, 2.83 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.6).
- Shots: 16.4 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 48.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.6 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.57.
TSG Hoffenheim: form and key numbers
In style TSG Hoffenheim keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.84 a match created, 1.61 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.2).
- Shots: 18.6 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 58.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim: season averages side by side
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | Per match | TSG Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.84 |
| 2.83 | xG conceded | 1.61 |
| 1.40 | Goals | 1.80 |
| 16.4 | Shots | 18.6 |
| 4.8 | Shots on target | 4.8 |
| 0.8 | Big chances missed | 2.4 |
| 35.8 | Pressure share % | 62.0 |
| 14.6 | Tackles | 15.2 |
| 15.2 | Fouls | 13.4 |
| 3.0 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Borussia Mönchengladbach 11, TSG Hoffenheim 10 - 5.3 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-0 TSG Hoffenheim (May 16th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Borussia Mönchengladbach won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 – 0 | TSG Hoffenheim |
| 14 Jan 2026 | TSG Hoffenheim | 5 – 1 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 3 May 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 – 4 | TSG Hoffenheim |
| 21 Dec 2024 | TSG Hoffenheim | 1 – 2 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
Players to watch
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Moritz Nicolas GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 50 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 1% of his position)
- Philipp Sander DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 46 · Press-resistant, Ball-winner (top 4% of his position)
TSG Hoffenheim
- Ozan Kabak CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 62 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 2% of his position)
- Adam Hlozek CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 59 · High shot volume, Clinical finisher (top 22% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Vladimír Coufal
Vladimír Coufal, 34 · TSG Hoffenheim · RWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 64
Vladimír Coufal, 34, plays as a wing-back for TSG Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and key passes. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RB · Full-back Accomplished, 68
- RWB · Wing-back Natural, 64
- LB · Full-back Accomplished, 64
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 2.52 / 90 | 93% |
| Key passes | 2.73 / 90 | 91% |
| Dribbled past | 0.21 / 90 | 88% |
| Interceptions | 1.47 / 90 | 80% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.30 / 90 | 75% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
Scout's notes: Crosser, Chance creator, Hard to dribble past.
- What Vladimír Coufal is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Vladimír Coufal's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction
TSG Hoffenheim should have more of the ball, with Borussia Mönchengladbach likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 4.3 goals - 2.00 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 2.35 for TSG Hoffenheim - with over 2.5 goals at 81% and both teams scoring at 79%. TSG Hoffenheim have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 TSG Hoffenheim
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim betting tips
- Tip 1: TSG Hoffenheim win or draw (double chance) 71% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 81% by the model, 4.34 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 79% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 13.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim: questions and answers
When is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim is on Sunday 18 October 2026, in Bundesliga Gameweek 6.
Where is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim played?
At Stadion im Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach, Borussia Mönchengladbach's home ground.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim?
TSG Hoffenheim are the favourites: Borussia Mönchengladbach 29%, draw 24%, TSG Hoffenheim 46%. Our prediction is Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 TSG Hoffenheim.
Who is the player to watch in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Vladimír Coufal of TSG Hoffenheim: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 81%.
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