AFC Bournemouth 3-0 Sturm Graz: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How AFC Bournemouth won it

The opening goal came in the 43rd minute: Evanilson for AFC Bournemouth, set up by Adam Smith. Rayan made it 2-0 to AFC Bournemouth in the 76th minute. Álvaro Rodríguez from the penalty spot made it 3-0 to AFC Bournemouth in the 90th minute (+2).

It was 1-0 at half-time.

The referee, J. Brisard, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to AFC Bournemouth and 3 to Sturm Graz.

AFC Bournemouth: M. Rose, 4-4-2 · Sturm Graz: F. Ingolitsch, 5-3-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Under 1.50 at 1.78, and on the half-time score, 1-0 it won.

The estimate's most likely result was an AFC Bournemouth win at 79%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (11%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.6 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 68%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 50%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

AFC Bournemouth had 7 shots on target, Sturm Graz 1.

AFC Bournemouth had 62% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

AFC Bournemouth came into it with 2 Europa League matches played, scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.5 a match, with 2.10 expected goals for and – against, and had won 100% of their matches.

Sturm Graz came into it with 2 Europa League matches played, scoring 0.0 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 0.61 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: António Silva (AFC Bournemouth), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

AFC Bournemouth

• António Silva 7.7
• Evanilson 7.7 1 goal
• Rayan 7.5 1 goal
• Adam Smith 7.4 1 assist
• James Hill 7.4

Sturm Graz

• Simon Seidl 7.0
• Jon Gorenc Stankovic 6.9
• Jürgen Heil 6.6
• Jacob Peter Hödl 6.5
• Paul Koller 6.5

The lowest-rated starter was Daniil Khudyakov at 5.7. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland Sunday 18 October 2026 · Premier League
• Sturm Graz: Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz

What was the score in AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz?

AFC Bournemouth 3-0 Sturm Graz (half-time 1-0), Europa League, Thursday 15 October 2026.

Who scored in AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz?

Evanilson 43', Rayan 76', Álvaro Rodríguez 90+2'.

Did Moneyball predict AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Under 1.50 at 1.78, and on the half-time score, 1-0 it won.

Who was man of the match in AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz?

António Silva, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz?

J. Brisard.