Brann 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · Brann Stadion, Bergen · referee D. Černý · full time
Full time: Brann 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps
Brann won 2-1 at home to Lincoln Red Imps in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026. The goals: Kike Gómez 59', Niklas Castro 64', Niklas Castro 81'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Brann won it
Lincoln Red Imps struck first through Kike Gómez in the 59th minute, set up by Nano. Brann levelled at 1-1 in the 64th minute through Niklas Castro. Brann turned it round: Niklas Castro made it 2-1 in the 81st minute, set up by Jonas Torsvik.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Niklas Castro scored twice.
The lead changed hands once.
Neraysho Kasanwirjo of Brann was sent off in the 23rd minute. Gabri Cardozo of Lincoln Red Imps was sent off in the 61st minute for a second yellow card. The referee, D. Černý, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Brann and 1 to Lincoln Red Imps.
Brann: E. Horneland, 4-3-3 · Lincoln Red Imps: J. Pavón Domínguez, 5-3-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A winning call: the Match Board's pick was HT Under 1.50 at 1.68, and the half-time score, 0-0 is a win for it.
The estimate's most likely result was a Brann win at 83%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (12%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.6 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 69%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 47%; both did, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Brann had 10 shots on target, Lincoln Red Imps 3.
Lincoln Red Imps's goalkeeper made 7 saves.
Brann had 72% of the ball and turned it into the win.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Brann came into it with 7 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 0.55 expected goals for and – against, and had won 57% of their matches.
Lincoln Red Imps came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 0.27 expected goals for and – against, and had won 33% of their matches.
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps: the match in numbers
| Brann | Match statistics | Lincoln Red Imps |
|---|---|---|
| 72% | Ball possession | 28% |
| 19 | Total shots | 7 |
| 10 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 3 | Big chances | 1 |
| 611 | Total passes | 234 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 67% |
| 17 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 6 | Offsides | 2 |
| 10 | Tackles | 21 |
| 2 | Saves | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Niklas Castro (Brann), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
Brann
- Niklas Castro 8.7 2 goals
- Kristall Máni Ingason 7.8
- Joachim Soltvedt 7.6
- Eggert Aron Guðmundsson 7.5
- Jonas Torsvik 7.0 1 assist
Lincoln Red Imps
- Jaylan Hankins 8.5
- Alvaro Romero 7.1
- Christian Rutjens 7.0
- Kike Gómez 7.0 1 goal
- Nano 6.9 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Neraysho Kasanwirjo at 3.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Brann: Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa Conference League
- Lincoln Red Imps: Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa Conference League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps
What was the score in Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?
Brann 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps (half-time 0-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?
Kike Gómez 59', Niklas Castro 64', Niklas Castro 81'.
Did Moneyball predict Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps correctly?
A winning call: the Match Board's pick was HT Under 1.50 at 1.68, and the half-time score, 0-0 is a win for it.
Who was man of the match in Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?
Niklas Castro, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?
D. Černý.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.