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Brann 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Brann 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps

Brann won 2-1 at home to Lincoln Red Imps in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026. The goals: Kike Gómez 59', Niklas Castro 64', Niklas Castro 81'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Brann won it

Lincoln Red Imps struck first through Kike Gómez in the 59th minute, set up by Nano. Brann levelled at 1-1 in the 64th minute through Niklas Castro. Brann turned it round: Niklas Castro made it 2-1 in the 81st minute, set up by Jonas Torsvik.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Niklas Castro scored twice.

The lead changed hands once.

Neraysho Kasanwirjo of Brann was sent off in the 23rd minute. Gabri Cardozo of Lincoln Red Imps was sent off in the 61st minute for a second yellow card. The referee, D. Černý, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Brann and 1 to Lincoln Red Imps.

Brann: E. Horneland, 4-3-3 · Lincoln Red Imps: J. Pavón Domínguez, 5-3-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A winning call: the Match Board's pick was HT Under 1.50 at 1.68, and the half-time score, 0-0 is a win for it.

The estimate's most likely result was a Brann win at 83%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (12%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.6 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 69%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 47%; both did, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Brann had 10 shots on target, Lincoln Red Imps 3.

Lincoln Red Imps's goalkeeper made 7 saves.

Brann had 72% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Brann came into it with 7 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 0.55 expected goals for and – against, and had won 57% of their matches.

Lincoln Red Imps came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 0.27 expected goals for and – against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps: the match in numbers

BrannMatch statisticsLincoln Red Imps
72%Ball possession28%
19Total shots7
10Shots on target3
3Big chances1
611Total passes234
84%Pass accuracy67%
17Corners2
12Fouls15
6Offsides2
10Tackles21
2Saves7
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Niklas Castro (Brann), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Brann

Lincoln Red Imps

The lowest-rated starter was Neraysho Kasanwirjo at 3.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps

What was the score in Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?

Brann 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps (half-time 0-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.

Who scored in Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?

Kike Gómez 59', Niklas Castro 64', Niklas Castro 81'.

Did Moneyball predict Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps correctly?

A winning call: the Match Board's pick was HT Under 1.50 at 1.68, and the half-time score, 0-0 is a win for it.

Who was man of the match in Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?

Niklas Castro, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?

D. Černý.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.