Brest 2–0 Lyon: Result, Report and Stats
Ligue 1 · Monday 9 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: Brest 2 – 0 Lyon
- Before kick-off the pre-match consensus gave Brest win 34%. The consensus had leaned to a Lyon win (38%); the result went against it.
- 2 goals in the match.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.
Brest welcome Lyon to Stade Francis-Le Ble in Brest in Ligue 1 action on Monday 9 November 2026.
Brest have played 10 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 40% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Lyon have played 10 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 20% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, there is little to separate them: Brest 34%, the draw 28%, Lyon 38%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.75 goals: 48%.
Brest: form and key numbers
In style Brest are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.83 a match created, 1.27 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.3).
- Shots: 16.1 a match, 5.7 on target.
- Possession: 45.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 70% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Lyon: form and key numbers
In style Lyon keep the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.64 a match created, 1.16 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.4).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 52.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Brest vs Lyon: season averages side by side
| Brest | Per match | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.64 |
| 1.27 | xG conceded | 1.16 |
| 1.80 | Goals | 1.50 |
| 16.1 | Shots | 12.8 |
| 5.7 | Shots on target | 4.6 |
| 2.3 | Big chances missed | 1.7 |
| 49.2 | Pressure share % | 54.5 |
| 16.7 | Tackles | 14.9 |
| 14.4 | Fouls | 11.7 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 10 and 10 measured matches.
Brest vs Lyon: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Brest have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of the last 5 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Brest 6, Lyon 5 - 2.2 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Brest 2-0 Lyon (November 8th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 5 meetings Brest won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Brest | 2 – 0 | Lyon |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Lyon | 2 – 1 | Brest |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Brest | 0 – 0 | Lyon |
| 2 Mar 2025 | Lyon | 2 – 1 | Brest |
| 11 Jan 2025 | Brest | 2 – 1 | Lyon |
Players to watch
Brest
- Raphaël Le Guen CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 60 · Hard to dribble past, Dominant in the air (top 7% of his position)
- Bradley Locko LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 60 · Duel winner, Dribbler (top 20% of his position)
Lyon
- Dominik Greif GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 70 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 6% of his position)
- Corentin Tolisso CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 61 · Creator, Gets into scoring positions (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ernest Nuamah
Ernest Nuamah, 23 · Olympique Lyonnais · RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 61
Ernest Nuamah, 23, plays as a winger for Olympique Lyonnais in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in expected goals and shots. Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 61
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 58
- ST · Centre-forward Accomplished, 53
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.48 / 90 | 97% |
| Shots | 3.34 / 90 | 83% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.11 / 90 | 78% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.07 / 90 | 64% |
| Dispossessed | 0.95 / 90 | 64% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume.
- What Ernest Nuamah is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ernest Nuamah's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Brest vs Lyon prediction
Lyon should have more of the ball, with Brest likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Brest are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.48 for Brest and 1.24 for Lyon - with over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 56%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Brest 1-1 Lyon
Brest vs Lyon: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 38%
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.72 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (51%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 56% by the model
- 4. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 3.7 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 8.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Brest vs Lyon: questions and answers
When is Brest vs Lyon?
Brest vs Lyon is on Monday 9 November 2026, in Ligue 1.
Where is Brest vs Lyon played?
At Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest, Brest's home ground.
Who will win Brest vs Lyon?
It is close: Brest 34%, draw 28%, Lyon 38%. Our prediction is Brest 1-1 Lyon.
Who is the player to watch in Brest vs Lyon?
Ernest Nuamah of Olympique Lyonnais: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 61 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Brest vs Lyon?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.