Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 7
Premier League · Sunday 18 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-17
Brighton & Hove Albion welcome Crystal Palace to The American Express Community Stadium in Falmer in Premier League Gameweek 7 action on Sunday 18 October 2026.
Brighton & Hove Albion have played 6 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 3.0 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 67% of them. At home they average 2.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate. Crystal Palace have played 6 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Brighton & Hove Albion are narrow favourites at 58%, with the draw at 23% and Crystal Palace at 19%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.4% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Brighton & Hove Albion -1 at 2.06, Crystal Palace at 1.84. The main goals line is 3: over 1.98, under 1.90, which gives over 49%.
Brighton & Hove Albion: form and key numbers
In style Brighton & Hove Albion keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.00 a match created, 1.62 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.0).
- Shots: 18.0 a match, 5.5 on target.
- Possession: 60.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 67% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.01.
Crystal Palace: form and key numbers
In style Crystal Palace are happy without the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.28 a match created, 2.31 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.3).
- Shots: 11.0 a match, 4.2 on target.
- Possession: 43.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace: season averages side by side
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Per match | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.28 |
| 1.62 | xG conceded | 2.31 |
| 3.00 | Goals | 1.50 |
| 18.0 | Shots | 11.0 |
| 5.5 | Shots on target | 4.2 |
| 3.0 | Big chances missed | 2.2 |
| 65.3 | Pressure share % | 33.9 |
| 14.5 | Tackles | 22.2 |
| 12.8 | Fouls | 9.8 |
| 2.2 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 6 measured matches.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Brighton & Hove Albion have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Brighton & Hove Albion 2, Crystal Palace 6 - 2.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Brighton & Hove Albion 0-1 Crystal Palace (February 8th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Brighton & Hove Albion won 0, drew 1 and lost 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 0 – 1 | Crystal Palace |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Crystal Palace | 0 – 0 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 5 Apr 2025 | Crystal Palace | 2 – 1 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1 – 3 | Crystal Palace |
Players to watch
Brighton & Hove Albion
- Bart Verbruggen GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 63 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 6% of his position)
- Luka Vuskovic CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 63 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 6% of his position)
Crystal Palace
- Dean Henderson GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 62 · Box defender, Shot-stopper (top 7% of his position)
- Chris Richards CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 57 · Blocks shots, Disciplined (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Pascal Groß
Pascal Groß, 35 · Brighton & Hove Albion · CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 67
Pascal Groß, 35, plays as a central midfielder for Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 67
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Competent, 54
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.00 / 90 | 100% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.47 / 90 | 100% |
| Expected goals | 0.32 / 90 | 98% |
| Passes | 59.00 / 90 | 81% |
| Long balls | 2.50 / 90 | 77% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★★★½ Creator Attacking midfielder
- ★★½ Box-to-box midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Pascal Groß is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Pascal Groß's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion should have more of the ball, with Crystal Palace likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Brighton & Hove Albion are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 4.1 goals - 2.95 for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.16 for Crystal Palace - with over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams scoring at 66%. Brighton & Hove Albion have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Crystal Palace
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace betting tips
- Tip 1: Brighton & Hove Albion to win 58% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 78% by the model, 4.11 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 66% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 8.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace: questions and answers
When is Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace is on Sunday 18 October 2026, in Premier League Gameweek 7.
Where is Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace played?
At The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, Brighton & Hove Albion's home ground.
Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?
Brighton & Hove Albion are the favourites: Brighton & Hove Albion 58%, draw 23%, Crystal Palace 19%. Our prediction is Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Crystal Palace.
Who is the player to watch in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?
Pascal Groß of Brighton & Hove Albion: a playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 67 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 78%.
Tags
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