Celta de Vigo 1-2 Juventus: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa League Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo · referee S. van der Eijk · full time
Full time: Celta de Vigo 1-2 Juventus
Celta de Vigo 1-2 Juventus: Juventus took the points in Europa League Matchday 2 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Abanca-Balaídos. The goals: Hugo Álvarez 18', Nick Woltemade 58', Randal Kolo Muani 90+2'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Juventus won it
The opening goal came in the 18th minute: Hugo Álvarez for Celta de Vigo, set up by Williot Swedberg. Juventus levelled at 1-1 in the 58th minute through Nick Woltemade. Juventus turned it round: Randal Kolo Muani made it 1-2 in the 90th minute (+2), set up by Andrea Cambiaso. A late goal, and the one that decided the result.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.
The lead changed hands once.
The referee, S. van der Eijk, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Celta de Vigo and 2 to Juventus.
Celta de Vigo: C. Giráldez González, 3-4-3 · Juventus: L. Spalletti, 3-4-2-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Celta Vigo +0.50 at 1.78, and on 1-2 it lost.
The estimate's most likely result was a Juventus win at 45%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.6 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 48%; with 3 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 52%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The bookmakers, margin removed, had a Juventus win at 42%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Celta de Vigo had 2 shots on target, Juventus 6.
Juventus had 53% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Celta de Vigo came into it with 2 Europa League matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.18 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Juventus came into it with 2 Europa League matches played, scoring 3.5 and conceding 0.5 a match, with 2.63 expected goals for and – against, and had won 100% of their matches.
Celta de Vigo vs Juventus: the match in numbers
| Celta de Vigo | Match statistics | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| 47% | Ball possession | 53% |
| 9 | Total shots | 22 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 2 | Big chances | 4 |
| 501 | Total passes | 550 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 88% |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 19 | Tackles | 19 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Nick Woltemade (Juventus), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Celta de Vigo
- Williot Swedberg 7.5 1 assist
- Hugo Álvarez 7.4 1 goal
- Javi Rodríguez 7.1
- Ilaix Moriba 7.0
- Yoel Lago 6.9
Juventus
- Nick Woltemade 7.9 1 goal
- Pape Matar Sarr 7.5
- Andrea Cambiaso 7.4 1 assist
- Pierre Kalulu 7.2
- Randal Kolo Muani 7.2 1 goal
The lowest-rated starter was Marcos Alonso at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Celta de Vigo: Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés Sunday 18 October 2026 · La Liga
- Juventus: Juventus vs Lazio Sunday 18 October 2026 · Serie A
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Celta de Vigo vs Juventus
What was the score in Celta de Vigo vs Juventus?
Celta de Vigo 1-2 Juventus (half-time 1-0), Europa League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in Celta de Vigo vs Juventus?
Hugo Álvarez 18', Nick Woltemade 58', Randal Kolo Muani 90+2'.
Did Moneyball predict Celta de Vigo vs Juventus correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Celta Vigo +0.50 at 1.78, and on 1-2 it lost.
Who was man of the match in Celta de Vigo vs Juventus?
Nick Woltemade, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Celta de Vigo vs Juventus?
S. van der Eijk.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.