Celta Vigo vs Real Betis Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 10
La Liga · Sunday 25 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-18
Celta Vigo welcome Real Betis to Abanca-Balaídos in Vigo in La Liga Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 25 October 2026.
Celta Vigo have played 8 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 13% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 100% win rate. Real Betis have played 9 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 67% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, there is little to separate them: Celta Vigo 34%, the draw 28%, Real Betis 38%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Celta Vigo 0 at 2.07, Real Betis at 1.83. The main goals line is 2.5: over 1.89, under 1.99, which gives over 51%.
Celta Vigo: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.91 a match created, 1.20 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.7).
- Shots: 9.9 a match, 3.3 on target.
- Possession: 50.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (25% at home).
- Both teams scored in 38% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.82.
Real Betis: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.65 a match created, 1.68 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.1).
- Shots: 16.4 a match, 6.3 on target.
- Possession: 51.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 44% of matches (25% away).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.95.
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis: season averages side by side
| Celta Vigo | Per match | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|
| 0.91 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.65 |
| 1.20 | xG conceded | 1.68 |
| 1.00 | Goals | 1.78 |
| 9.9 | Shots | 16.4 |
| 3.3 | Shots on target | 6.3 |
| 1.1 | Big chances missed | 1.4 |
| 49.3 | Pressure share % | 51.9 |
| 14.4 | Tackles | 19.0 |
| 12.0 | Fouls | 9.9 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and 9 measured matches.
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Celta Vigo have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Celta Vigo 7, Real Betis 6 - 3.3 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Real Betis 1-1 Celta Vigo (March 15th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Celta Vigo won 1, drew 3 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | Real Betis | 1 – 1 | Celta Vigo |
| 27 Aug 2025 | Celta Vigo | 1 – 1 | Real Betis |
| 8 Feb 2025 | Celta Vigo | 3 – 2 | Real Betis |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Real Betis | 2 – 2 | Celta Vigo |
Players to watch
Celta Vigo
- Javi Rueda RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 59 · Dribbler, Chance creator (top 13% of his position)
- Ionuț Radu GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 55 · Box defender, Secure passer (top 13% of his position)
Real Betis
- Álvaro Valles GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 69 · Dominant in the air, Shot-stopper (top 2% of his position)
- Natan CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 65 · Disciplined, Box defender (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Isco
Isco, 34 · Real Betis · AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 69
Isco, 34, plays as an attacking midfielder for Real Betis in La Liga. Strongest for his role in expected goals and key passes. Weakest in big chances created. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 84
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 69
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 66
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.72 / 90 | 99% |
| Key passes | 4.04 / 90 | 96% |
| Shots | 3.82 / 90 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 94% |
| Fouls won | 2.47 / 90 | 89% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
- ★★★★½ Link-up forward Second striker
- ★★★★ Playmaker Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator, High shot volume.
- What Isco is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis prediction
Real Betis should have more of the ball. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.32 for Celta Vigo and 1.15 for Real Betis - with over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 51%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Celta Vigo 1-1 Real Betis
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 38%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 55% by the model, 2.47 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Celta Vigo vs Real Betis in the Match Centre Follow it live
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- Real Madrid vs Sevilla Sunday 18 October 2026
- Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano Monday 19 October 2026
- Levante vs Athletic Bilbao Wednesday 21 October 2026
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis: questions and answers
When is Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis is on Sunday 25 October 2026, in La Liga Gameweek 10.
Where is Celta Vigo vs Real Betis played?
At Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo, Celta Vigo's home ground.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?
It is close: Celta Vigo 34%, draw 28%, Real Betis 38%. Our prediction is Celta Vigo 1-1 Real Betis.
Who is the player to watch in Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?
Isco of Real Betis: a shadow striker with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.