Como vs Sassuolo Prediction and Betting Tips | Serie A Gameweek 8
Serie A · Saturday 24 October 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como · updated 2026-10-17
Como welcome Sassuolo to Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Como in Serie A Gameweek 8 action on Saturday 24 October 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Como have played 6 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 33% win rate. Sassuolo have played 7 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 29% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Como are narrow favourites at 51%, with the draw at 23% and Sassuolo at 26%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Como 1.98, Sassuolo 1.35.
- Over 2.5 goals: 65% · both teams to score: 64%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Como: form and key numbers
In style Como keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.82 a match created, 1.53 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.9).
- Shots: 22.7 a match, 6.7 on target.
- Possession: 62.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.03.
Sassuolo: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.68 a match created, 1.53 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.3).
- Shots: 15.7 a match, 6.4 on target.
- Possession: 47.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
Como vs Sassuolo: season averages side by side
| Como | Per match this season | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 7 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 1.7 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 1.82 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.68 |
| 1.53 | xG conceded | 1.53 |
| 22.7 | Shots | 15.7 |
| 6.7 | On target | 6.4 |
| 62.3 | Possession % | 47.7 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 100% |
| 7.7 | Corners | 4.3 |
| 1.0 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 7.03 | Average rating | 6.81 |
Players to watch
Como
- Lucas Da Cunha CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 77 · Press-resistant, Secure passer (top 2% of his position)
- Luis Milla CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 72 · Reads the game, Chance creator (top 1% of his position)
Sassuolo
- Vasilije Adžić AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 66 · Chance creator, Gets into scoring positions (top 7% of his position)
- Armand Laurienté LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 65 · High shot volume, Big-chance creator (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Assane Diao
Assane Diao, 21 · Como · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 70
Assane Diao, 21, plays as a winger for Como in Serie A. Strongest for his role in key passes and dispossessed. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 70
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 66
- LM · Wide midfielder Competent, 64
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.38 / 90 | 96% |
| Dispossessed | 0.42 / 90 | 93% |
| Successful dribbles | 3.17 / 90 | 91% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.35 / 90 | 89% |
| Big chances created | 0.42 / 90 | 71% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Press-resistant, Dribbler.
- What Assane Diao is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Assane Diao's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Como vs Sassuolo prediction
Como should have more of the ball, with Sassuolo likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Como work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 1.98 for Como and 1.35 for Sassuolo - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 64%. Como have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Como 2-1 Sassuolo
Como vs Sassuolo betting tips
- Tip 1: Como win or draw (double chance) 74% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 65% by the model, 3.33 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 64% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 12.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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- Lazio vs Parma Saturday 24 October 2026
- Inter vs Fiorentina Sunday 25 October 2026
- Genoa vs Venezia Sunday 25 October 2026
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Como vs Sassuolo: questions and answers
When is Como vs Sassuolo?
Como vs Sassuolo is on Saturday 24 October 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC, in Serie A Gameweek 8.
Where is Como vs Sassuolo played?
At Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como, Como's home ground.
Who will win Como vs Sassuolo?
Como are the favourites: Como 51%, draw 23%, Sassuolo 26%. Our prediction is Como 2-1 Sassuolo.
Who is the player to watch in Como vs Sassuolo?
Assane Diao of Como: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 70 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Como vs Sassuolo?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.