Como vs Venezia Prediction and Betting Tips | Serie A Gameweek 10
Serie A · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como · updated 2026-10-18
Como welcome Venezia to Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Como in Serie A Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 11:30 UTC.
Como have played 6 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 33% win rate. Venezia have played 7 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 14% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Como are clear favourites at 64%, with the draw at 20% and Venezia at 16%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Como 2.33, Venezia 1.10.
- Over 2.5 goals: 67% · both teams to score: 61%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Como: form and key numbers
In style Como keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.82 a match created, 1.53 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.9).
- Shots: 22.7 a match, 6.7 on target.
- Possession: 62.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.03.
Venezia: form and key numbers
In style Venezia keep the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.58 a match created, 2.16 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.1).
- Shots: 14.0 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 54.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 14% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.9 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Como vs Venezia: season averages side by side
| Como | Per match this season | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 7 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 2.3 |
| 1.82 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.58 |
| 1.53 | xG conceded | 2.16 |
| 22.7 | Shots | 14.0 |
| 6.7 | On target | 4.3 |
| 62.3 | Possession % | 54.1 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 14% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 43% |
| 7.7 | Corners | 3.7 |
| 1.0 | Yellow cards | 2.9 |
| 7.03 | Average rating | 6.73 |
Players to watch
Como
- Lucas Da Cunha CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 77 · Press-resistant, Ball circulator (top 2% of his position)
- Luis Milla CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 72 · Reads the game, Creator (top 1% of his position)
Venezia
- Filip Stanković GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 63 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 6% of his position)
- Gianluca Busio DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 58 · Long passer, Ball-winner (top 14% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: John Yeboah
John Yeboah, 26 · Venezia · SS · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 71
John Yeboah, 26, plays as a second striker for Venezia in Serie A. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and expected assists (est.). Weakest in assists. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average second striker, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- SS · Second striker Natural, 71
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Competent, 62
- LW · Winger Competent, 59
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 2.02 / 90 | 97% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.32 / 90 | 92% |
| Shots | 3.54 / 90 | 92% |
| Expected goals | 0.53 / 90 | 87% |
| Key passes | 2.02 / 90 | 87% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★½ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Creator, High shot volume.
- What John Yeboah is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open John Yeboah's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Como vs Venezia prediction
Como should have more of the ball; Como work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals - 2.33 for Como and 1.10 for Venezia - with over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 61%. Como have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Como 2-1 Venezia
Como vs Venezia betting tips
- Tip 1: Como to win 64% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 67% by the model, 3.43 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 61% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Serie A previews
- Torino vs Monza Friday 23 October 2026
- Como vs Sassuolo Saturday 24 October 2026
- Cagliari vs Bologna Saturday 24 October 2026
- Napoli vs Roma Saturday 24 October 2026
- Lazio vs Parma Saturday 24 October 2026
- Inter vs Fiorentina Sunday 25 October 2026
- Genoa vs Venezia Sunday 25 October 2026
- Atalanta vs Frosinone Sunday 25 October 2026
Como vs Venezia: questions and answers
When is Como vs Venezia?
Como vs Venezia is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 11:30 UTC, in Serie A Gameweek 10.
Where is Como vs Venezia played?
At Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como, Como's home ground.
Who will win Como vs Venezia?
Como are the favourites: Como 64%, draw 20%, Venezia 16%. Our prediction is Como 2-1 Venezia.
Who is the player to watch in Como vs Venezia?
John Yeboah of Venezia: a shadow striker with a Moneyball Score of 71 against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Como vs Venezia?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.