Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa Conference League Gameweek 3
Europa Conference League · Thursday 5 November 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Stadion Rajko Mitić, Beograd · updated 2026-10-22
Crvena Zvezda welcome Inter Club d'Escaldes to Stadion Rajko Mitić in Beograd in Europa Conference League Gameweek 3 action on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
Crvena Zvezda have played 4 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 50% win rate. Inter Club d'Escaldes have played 5 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Crvena Zvezda are narrow favourites at 55%, with the draw at 27% and Inter Club d'Escaldes at 17%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Crvena Zvezda 1.54, Inter Club d'Escaldes 0.75.
- Over 2.5 goals: 40% · both teams to score: 42%.
- Most likely score: 1–0 (15%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Crvena Zvezda: form and key numbers
- Shots: 17.3 a match, 9.5 on target.
- Possession: 65.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 0% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.45.
Inter Club d'Escaldes: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.08 a match created (goals minus xG: +7.6).
- Shots: 14.2 a match, 4.2 on target.
- Possession: 47.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 60% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 20% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.51.
Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes: season averages side by side
| Crvena Zvezda | Per match this season | Inter Club d'Escaldes |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 5 |
| 2.3 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 0.8 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| – | Expected goals (xG) | 0.08 |
| 17.3 | Shots | 14.2 |
| 9.5 | On target | 4.2 |
| 65.3 | Possession % | 47.6 |
| 50% | Clean sheets % | 60% |
| 0% | Both teams scored % | 20% |
| 6.0 | Corners | 4.4 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 3.0 |
| 6.45 | Average rating | 6.51 |
Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals - 1.54 for Crvena Zvezda and 0.75 for Inter Club d'Escaldes - with over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams scoring at 42%. Crvena Zvezda have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Crvena Zvezda 1-0 Inter Club d'Escaldes
Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes betting tips
- Tip 1: Crvena Zvezda to win 55% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 60% by the model, 2.28 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 10.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Europa Conference League previews
- Kairat vs Panathinaikos Thursday 22 October 2026
- Trabzonspor vs Hearts Thursday 22 October 2026
- Pafos FC vs Riga Thursday 22 October 2026
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova Thursday 22 October 2026
- Getafe vs Lugano Thursday 22 October 2026
- Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann Thursday 22 October 2026
- Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion Thursday 22 October 2026
- Crvena Zvezda vs FC København Thursday 22 October 2026
Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes: questions and answers
When is Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?
Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes is on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 3.
Where is Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes played?
At Stadion Rajko Mitić, Beograd, Crvena Zvezda's home ground.
Who will win Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?
Crvena Zvezda are the favourites: Crvena Zvezda 55%, draw 27%, Inter Club d'Escaldes 17%. Our prediction is Crvena Zvezda 1-0 Inter Club d'Escaldes.
How many goals will there be in Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 40%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.