Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Anderlecht: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa League Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb · referee O. Grinfeeld · full time
Full time: Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Anderlecht
Dinamo Zagreb beat Anderlecht 1-0 in Europa League Matchday 2 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Stadion Maksimir. The goals: Dion Beljo 90+6'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Dinamo Zagreb won it
The opening goal came in the 90th minute (+6): Dion Beljo from the penalty spot for Dinamo Zagreb. It came late, and it settled the match.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, O. Grinfeeld, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Dinamo Zagreb and 2 to Anderlecht.
Dinamo Zagreb: M. Kovačević, 4-1-4-1 · Anderlecht: V. Clara Santos Mota Fernandes, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.50 at 1.80, and on 1-0 it lost.
The estimate's most likely result was a Dinamo Zagreb win at 47%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.8 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 53%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 56%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Dinamo Zagreb had 3 shots on target, Anderlecht 6.
Dinamo Zagreb's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Anderlecht had 55% of the ball, but Dinamo Zagreb took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Dinamo Zagreb came into it with 2 Europa League matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 0.0 a match, with 1.04 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.
Anderlecht came into it with 8 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.00 expected goals for and – against, and had won 63% of their matches.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht: the match in numbers
| Dinamo Zagreb | Match statistics | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| 45% | Ball possession | 55% |
| 13 | Total shots | 10 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 3 | Big chances | 2 |
| 473 | Total passes | 576 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 90% |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 18 | Tackles | 16 |
| 6 | Saves | 2 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Dominik Kotarski (Dinamo Zagreb), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Dinamo Zagreb
- Dominik Kotarski 8.3
- Luka Ivanušec 7.5
- Arbër Hoxha 7.4
- Sergi Domínguez Viloria 7.2
- Dion Beljo 7.1 1 goal
Anderlecht
- Oleg Reabciuk 7.2
- Tristan Degreef 7.2
- Mario Stroeykens 7.1
- Thelo Aasgaard 7.0
- Andrew Omobamidele 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Niko Galesic at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Dinamo Zagreb: Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa League
- Anderlecht: Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht
What was the score in Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?
Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Anderlecht (half-time 0-0), Europa League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?
Dion Beljo 90+6'.
Did Moneyball predict Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.50 at 1.80, and on 1-0 it lost.
Who was man of the match in Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?
Dominik Kotarski, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?
O. Grinfeeld.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.