Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-1 FC Midtjylland: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · Arena Egnatia · referee S. Ebner · full time
Full time: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-1 FC Midtjylland
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and FC Midtjylland drew 1-1 in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Arena Egnatia. The goals: Ildi Gruda 26', Gue-sung Cho 33'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How the match unfolded
The opening goal came in the 26th minute: Ildi Gruda for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, set up by Altin Kryeziu. FC Midtjylland levelled at 1-1 in the 33rd minute through Gue-sung Cho, set up by Rasmus Nissen Kristensen.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, S. Ebner, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 0 to FC Midtjylland.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë: N. Dede, 4-3-3 · FC Midtjylland: M. Tullberg, 3-5-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Egnatia +0.50 at 1.68, and on the half-time score, 1-1 it won.
The estimate's most likely result was a FC Midtjylland win at 62%; a draw, at 22%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 0-2 (11%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 53%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 50%; both did, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Egnatia Rrogozhinë had 5 shots on target, FC Midtjylland 5.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë had 52% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Egnatia Rrogozhinë came into it with 1 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 0.63 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
FC Midtjylland came into it with 5 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.4 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.77 expected goals for and – against, and had won 80% of their matches.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland: the match in numbers
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Match statistics | FC Midtjylland |
|---|---|---|
| 52% | Ball possession | 48% |
| 12 | Total shots | 13 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 2 | Big chances | 4 |
| 397 | Total passes | 341 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 23 | Tackles | 12 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Eneo Bitri (Egnatia Rrogozhinë), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- Eneo Bitri 7.8
- Ildi Gruda 7.5 1 goal
- Altin Kryeziu 7.4 1 assist
- Alessandro Albanese 7.3
- Andrey Yago 7.0
FC Midtjylland
- Gue-sung Cho 7.3 1 goal
- Rasmus Nissen Kristensen 7.2 1 assist
- Nordin Bakker 7.1
- Philip Billing 7.1
- Ousmane Diao 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Guillem Jaime at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë: AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa Conference League
- FC Midtjylland: FC Midtjylland vs Sint-Truiden Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa Conference League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland
What was the score in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-1 FC Midtjylland (half-time 1-1), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland?
Ildi Gruda 26', Gue-sung Cho 33'.
Did Moneyball predict Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland correctly?
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Egnatia +0.50 at 1.68, and on the half-time score, 1-1 it won.
Who was man of the match in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland?
Eneo Bitri, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland?
S. Ebner.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.