Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV Prediction and Betting Tips | Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Bundesliga · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main · updated 2026-10-18
Eintracht Frankfurt welcome Hamburger SV to Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt am Main in Bundesliga Gameweek 8 action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 16:30 UTC.
Eintracht Frankfurt have played 6 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.7 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate. Hamburger SV have played 6 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.5 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Eintracht Frankfurt are narrow favourites at 53%, with the draw at 22% and Hamburger SV at 25%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Eintracht Frankfurt 2.16, Hamburger SV 1.46.
- Over 2.5 goals: 70% · both teams to score: 68%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Eintracht Frankfurt: form and key numbers
In style Eintracht Frankfurt are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.73 a match created, 2.31 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.4).
- Shots: 14.7 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 51.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Hamburger SV: form and key numbers
In style Hamburger SV are happy without the ball.
- Expected goals: 0.96 a match created, 1.94 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.2).
- Shots: 11.2 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 39.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.65.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV: season averages side by side
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Per match this season | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 6 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 2.7 | Goals conceded | 2.5 |
| 1.73 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.96 |
| 2.31 | xG conceded | 1.94 |
| 14.7 | Shots | 11.2 |
| 5.8 | On target | 3.7 |
| 51.2 | Possession % | 39.5 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 33% |
| 5.3 | Corners | 3.8 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
| 6.85 | Average rating | 6.65 |
Players to watch
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Robin Koch CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 72 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 1% of his position)
- Lilian Brassier CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 69 · Reads the game, Duel winner (top 3% of his position)
Hamburger SV
- Sebastiaan Bornauw CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 50 · Blocks shots, Box defender (top 11% of his position)
- Fábio Vieira AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 49 · Draws fouls, High shot volume (top 4% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Younes Ebnoutalib
Younes Ebnoutalib, 23 · Eintracht Frankfurt · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 72
Younes Ebnoutalib, 23, plays as a centre-forward for Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in goals and expected goals. Weakest in aerial duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 72
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 / 90 | 94% |
| Expected goals | 0.78 / 90 | 89% |
| Shots | 3.90 / 90 | 82% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 xG/shot | 80% |
| Key passes | 1.30 / 90 | 68% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★½ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: Clinical finisher, Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume.
- What Younes Ebnoutalib is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Younes Ebnoutalib's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV prediction
Eintracht Frankfurt should have more of the ball, with Hamburger SV likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Eintracht Frankfurt are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals - 2.16 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.46 for Hamburger SV - with over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 68%. Eintracht Frankfurt have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Hamburger SV
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV betting tips
- Tip 1: Eintracht Frankfurt win or draw (double chance) 75% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 70% by the model, 3.62 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 68% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV: questions and answers
When is Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 16:30 UTC, in Bundesliga Gameweek 8.
Where is Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV played?
At Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main, Eintracht Frankfurt's home ground.
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?
Eintracht Frankfurt are the favourites: Eintracht Frankfurt 53%, draw 22%, Hamburger SV 25%. Our prediction is Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Hamburger SV.
Who is the player to watch in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?
Younes Ebnoutalib of Eintracht Frankfurt: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 72 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.