Estudiantes 0-2 Independiente: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 1 · Sunday 26 July 2026 · Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Florencio Varela · referee P. Dóvalo · full time
Full time: Estudiantes 0-2 Independiente
Independiente won 2-0 away at Estudiantes in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 1 on Sunday 26 July 2026. The goals: Gabriel Ávalos 76', Santiago Montiel 82'.
How Independiente won it
Gabriel Ávalos put Independiente ahead in the 76th minute, set up by Santiago Montiel. Santiago Montiel made it 0-2 to Independiente in the 82nd minute.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, P. Dóvalo, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Estudiantes and 1 to Independiente. Guido Carrillo missed a penalty for Estudiantes in the 81 minute.
Estudiantes: A. Medina Reobasco, 4-4-2 · Independiente: G. Quinteros Desábato, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.61 for Estudiantes and 1.91 for Independiente.
Estudiantes scored about 1.6 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
Estudiantes had 3 shots on target, Independiente 4.
Estudiantes had 59% of the ball, but Independiente took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Estudiantes came into it with 30 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.32 expected goals for and 1.32 against, and had won 43% of their matches.
Independiente came into it with 30 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.06 expected goals for and 1.17 against, and had won 37% of their matches.
Estudiantes vs Independiente: the match in numbers
| Estudiantes | Match statistics | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| 59% | Ball possession | 41% |
| 1.61 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.91 |
| 16 | Total shots | 14 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 3 | Big chances | 3 |
| 376 | Total passes | 268 |
| 78% | Pass accuracy | 66% |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 24 | Tackles | 20 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Santiago Montiel (Independiente), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
Estudiantes
- Tomás Palacios 7.7
- Joaquín Tobio Burgos 7.6
- Brian Aguirre 7.2
- Fernando Muslera 7.0
- Ezequiel Piovi 7.0
Independiente
- Santiago Montiel 8.2 1 goal, 1 assist
- Juan Fedorco 7.8
- Rodrigo Rey 7.8
- Sebastián Valdez 7.7
- Gabriel Ávalos 7.6 1 goal
The lowest-rated starter was Maximiliano Gutiérrez at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Estudiantes: Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes Monday 26 October 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
- Independiente: Independiente vs Boca Juniors Sunday 25 October 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Estudiantes vs Independiente
What was the score in Estudiantes vs Independiente?
Estudiantes 0-2 Independiente (half-time 0-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Sunday 26 July 2026.
Who scored in Estudiantes vs Independiente?
Gabriel Ávalos 76', Santiago Montiel 82'.
Did Moneyball predict Estudiantes vs Independiente correctly?
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Who was man of the match in Estudiantes vs Independiente?
Santiago Montiel, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Estudiantes vs Independiente?
P. Dóvalo.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
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