Everton 0-2 Chelsea: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Chelsea won it

Chelsea struck first through Pedro Neto in the 46th minute, set up by Jorrel Hato. Pedro Neto made it 0-2 to Chelsea in the 90th minute.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Pedro Neto scored twice.

The referee, P. Tierney, showed 7 yellow cards: 3 to Everton and 4 to Chelsea.

Everton: D. Moyes, 4-2-3-1 · Chelsea: X. Alonso Olano, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75 at 2.02, and on 0-2 it won.

The estimate's most likely result was a Chelsea win at 39%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 54%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 58%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The bookmakers, margin removed, had a Chelsea win at 40%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.38 for Everton and 0.51 for Chelsea.

Everton scored about 1.4 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Chelsea made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.5 goals.

Everton created the better chances, 1.38 xG to 0.51, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Chelsea to create more, and Everton did.

Everton had 5 shots on target, Chelsea 7.

Chelsea's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Chelsea had 53% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Everton came into it with 7 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.27 expected goals for and 1.40 against, and had won 29% of their matches.

Chelsea came into it with 7 Premier League matches played, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.46 expected goals for and 1.60 against, and had won 57% of their matches.

Everton vs Chelsea: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Pedro Neto (Chelsea), rated 9.1 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Everton

• Vitaliy Mykolenko 7.2
• Jack Grealish 7.0
• Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 6.9
• James Tarkowski 6.9
• Merlin Röhl 6.8

Chelsea

• Pedro Neto 9.1 2 goals
• Emiliano Martínez 7.7
• Cole Palmer 7.5
• Morgan Rogers 7.2
• Jordan Henderson 7.2

The lowest-rated starter was Ainsley Maitland-Niles at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Everton: Arsenal vs Everton Saturday 24 October 2026 · Premier League
• Chelsea: Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Saturday 24 October 2026 · Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Everton vs Chelsea

What was the score in Everton vs Chelsea?

Everton 0-2 Chelsea (half-time 0-0), Premier League, Saturday 17 October 2026.

Who scored in Everton vs Chelsea?

Pedro Neto 46', Pedro Neto 90'.

Did Moneyball predict Everton vs Chelsea correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75 at 2.02, and on 0-2 it won.

Who was man of the match in Everton vs Chelsea?

Pedro Neto, rated 9.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Everton vs Chelsea?

P. Tierney.