FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999 Prediction and Stats
UEFA Conference League · Thursday 5 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
FC Copenhagen welcome FC Iberia 1999 to Parken in København in UEFA Conference League action on Thursday 5 November 2026.
FC Copenhagen have played 3 matches in UEFA Conference League this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 67% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 83% win rate. FC Iberia 1999 have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average.
On the pre-match consensus, FC Copenhagen are clear favourites at 76%, with the draw at 15% and FC Iberia 1999 at 9%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 3.25 goals: 53%.
FC Copenhagen: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.92 a match created (goals minus xG: +6.7).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 5.9 on target.
- Possession: 45.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.90.
FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999: season averages side by side
| FC Copenhagen | Per match | FC Iberia 1999 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.92 | Expected goals (xG) | – |
| 2.67 | Goals | – |
| 12.8 | Shots | – |
| 5.9 | Shots on target | – |
| 0.2 | Big chances missed | – |
| 14.1 | Tackles | – |
| 13.2 | Fouls | – |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | – |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 9 and – measured matches.
FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999 prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.85 for FC Copenhagen and 1.09 for FC Iberia 1999 - with over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 57%. FC Copenhagen have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: FC Copenhagen 2-1 FC Iberia 1999
FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999: what the numbers say
- 1. FC Copenhagen win, the likeliest result 76% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 3 or more goals 56% by the model, 2.94 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999: questions and answers
When is FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999?
FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999 is on Thursday 5 November 2026, in UEFA Conference League.
Where is FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999 played?
At Parken, København, FC Copenhagen's home ground.
Who will win FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999?
FC Copenhagen are the favourites: FC Copenhagen 76%, draw 15%, FC Iberia 1999 9%. Our prediction is FC Copenhagen 2-1 FC Iberia 1999.
How many goals will there be in FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.