FC Köln 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Bundesliga Matchday 5 · Sunday 11 October 2026 · RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne · referee F. Badstübner · full time
Full time: FC Köln 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC Köln beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-1 in Bundesliga Matchday 5 on Sunday 11 October 2026 at RheinEnergieStadion. The goals: Ísak Jóhannesson 26', Joe Scally 39', Saïd El Mala 67'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.
How FC Köln won it
Ísak Jóhannesson put FC Köln ahead in the 26th minute. Borussia Mönchengladbach levelled at 1-1 in the 39th minute through Joe Scally, set up by Lukas Ullrich. Saïd El Mala made it 2-1 to FC Köln in the 67th minute, set up by Linton Maina.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, F. Badstübner, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to FC Köln and 3 to Borussia Mönchengladbach.
FC Köln: R. Wagner, 4-3-1-2 · Borussia Mönchengladbach: A. Blessin, 3-4-2-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The pre-match estimate had 2-1 as the single most likely score (7%). That is the score it ended.
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 4.6 and the match produced three.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 84%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 78%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.30 for FC Köln and 1.71 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected FC Köln to create more, and Borussia Mönchengladbach did.
FC Köln had 7 shots on target, Borussia Mönchengladbach 7.
FC Köln's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Borussia Mönchengladbach had 52% of the ball, but FC Köln took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
FC Köln came into it with 6 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.72 expected goals for and 1.89 against, and had won 33% of their matches.
Borussia Mönchengladbach came into it with 5 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 3.6 a match, with 1.71 expected goals for and 2.83 against, and had won 0% of their matches.
FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: the match in numbers
| FC Köln | Match statistics | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| 48% | Ball possession | 52% |
| 1.30 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.71 |
| 19 | Total shots | 16 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 2 | Big chances | 2 |
| 391 | Total passes | 422 |
| 80% | Pass accuracy | 80% |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 22 | Tackles | 9 |
| 6 | Saves | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Linton Maina (FC Köln), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.
FC Köln
- Linton Maina 7.8 1 assist
- Saïd El Mala 7.8 1 goal
- Marvin Schwäbe 7.7
- Borna Sosa 7.7
- Ísak Jóhannesson 7.3 1 goal
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Joe Scally 7.3 1 goal
- Philipp Sander 7.1
- Moritz Nicolas 7.0
- Hugo Bolin 6.9
- Robin Hack 6.7
The lowest-rated starter was Daiki Hashioka at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- FC Köln: FC Köln vs Schalke 04 Saturday 24 October 2026 · Bundesliga
- Borussia Mönchengladbach: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim Sunday 18 October 2026 · Bundesliga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
What was the score in FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
FC Köln 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (half-time 1-1), Bundesliga, Sunday 11 October 2026.
Who scored in FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Ísak Jóhannesson 26', Joe Scally 39', Saïd El Mala 67'.
Did Moneyball predict FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach correctly?
The pre-match estimate had 2-1 as the single most likely score (7%). That is the score it ended.
Who was man of the match in FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Linton Maina, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
F. Badstübner.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.