FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow Prediction and Stats
Premier League · Sunday 8 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
FC Krasnodar welcome CSKA Moscow to Stadion FK Krasnodar in Krasnodar in Premier League action on Sunday 8 November 2026.
FC Krasnodar have played 14 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 7 matches, with a 57% win rate. CSKA Moscow have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average.
On the pre-match consensus, there is little to separate them: FC Krasnodar 41%, the draw 27%, CSKA Moscow 32%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.75 goals: 54%.
FC Krasnodar: form and key numbers
In style FC Krasnodar keep the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.42 a match created, 1.25 conceded (goals minus xG: +5.1).
- Shots: 15.0 a match, 5.6 on target.
- Possession: 57.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow: season averages side by side
| FC Krasnodar | Per match | CSKA Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| 1.42 | Expected goals (xG) | – |
| 1.25 | xG conceded | – |
| 1.79 | Goals | – |
| 15.0 | Shots | – |
| 5.6 | Shots on target | – |
| 0.8 | Big chances missed | – |
| 54.0 | Pressure share % | – |
| 15.1 | Tackles | – |
| 14.9 | Fouls | – |
| 2.6 | Yellow cards | – |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 14 and – measured matches.
Players to watch
FC Krasnodar
- Juan Manuel Boselli SS · Dribbling forward · Moneyball Score 25 · Dribbler, Creator (top 50% of his position)
- Douglas Augusto CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 25 · Long passer, Press-resistant (top 33% of his position)
FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.71 for FC Krasnodar and 1.17 for CSKA Moscow - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 57%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: FC Krasnodar 1-1 CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 41%
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.88 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (55%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow: questions and answers
When is FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?
FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow is on Sunday 8 November 2026, in the Premier League.
Where is FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow played?
At Stadion FK Krasnodar, Krasnodar, FC Krasnodar's home ground.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?
It is close: FC Krasnodar 41%, draw 27%, CSKA Moscow 32%. Our prediction is FC Krasnodar 1-1 CSKA Moscow.
How many goals will there be in FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.