FC Utrecht 2–3 NEC Nijmegen: Result, Report and Stats
Eredivisie · Monday 9 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: FC Utrecht 2 – 3 NEC Nijmegen
- Before kick-off the pre-match consensus gave NEC Nijmegen win 35%. The consensus had leaned to a FC Utrecht win (40%); the result went against it.
- 5 goals in the match.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.
FC Utrecht welcome NEC Nijmegen to Stadion Galgenwaard in Utrecht in Eredivisie action on Monday 9 November 2026.
FC Utrecht have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.8 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 33% win rate. NEC Nijmegen have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, there is little to separate them: FC Utrecht 40%, the draw 25%, NEC Nijmegen 35%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 3.25 goals: 50%.
FC Utrecht: form and key numbers
In style FC Utrecht are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.46 a match created, 1.84 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.5).
- Shots: 14.1 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 48.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 92% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.71.
NEC Nijmegen: form and key numbers
In style NEC Nijmegen keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.88 a match created, 1.69 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.6).
- Shots: 16.3 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 59.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen: season averages side by side
| FC Utrecht | Per match | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.88 |
| 1.84 | xG conceded | 1.69 |
| 1.75 | Goals | 1.67 |
| 14.1 | Shots | 16.3 |
| 4.5 | Shots on target | 4.6 |
| 1.5 | Big chances missed | 1.6 |
| 44.0 | Pressure share % | 63.1 |
| 15.4 | Tackles | 16.3 |
| 16.3 | Fouls | 10.8 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 12 and 12 measured matches.
FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- FC Utrecht have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of the last 5 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: FC Utrecht 8, NEC Nijmegen 6 - 2.8 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished FC Utrecht 2-3 NEC Nijmegen (November 8th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 5 meetings FC Utrecht won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | FC Utrecht | 2 – 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
| 11 Feb 2026 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 – 3 | FC Utrecht |
| 2 Nov 2025 | FC Utrecht | 1 – 0 | NEC Nijmegen |
| 15 Mar 2025 | FC Utrecht | 0 – 1 | NEC Nijmegen |
| 24 Nov 2024 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 – 2 | FC Utrecht |
Players to watch
FC Utrecht
- Yoann Cathline LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 43 · Crosser, Big-chance creator (top 8% of his position)
- Artem Stepanov CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 33 · Takes high-quality shots, Rarely wastes a big chance (top 1% of his position)
NEC Nijmegen
- Clement Mutahi Bischoff WF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 54 · Chance creator, Draws fouls (top 15% of his position)
- Ahmetcan Kaplan CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 47 · Duel winner, Secure passer (top 17% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Darko Nejasmic
Darko Nejasmic, 27 · NEC Nijmegen · DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 54
Darko Nejasmic, 27, plays as a defensive midfielder for NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in fouls committed and blocked shots. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 54
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 52
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls committed | 0.32 / 90 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 0.87 / 90 | 78% |
| Long balls | 2.71 / 90 | 75% |
| Interceptions | 1.62 / 90 | 71% |
| Duels won | 5.96 / 90 | 70% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- ★★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- ★★★½ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Disciplined.
- What Darko Nejasmic is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Darko Nejasmic's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen prediction
NEC Nijmegen should have more of the ball, with FC Utrecht likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals - 1.70 for FC Utrecht and 1.90 for NEC Nijmegen - with over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 70%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: FC Utrecht 2-2 NEC Nijmegen
FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 40%
- 2. 3 or more goals 70% by the model, 3.60 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 70% by the model
- 4. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 3.7 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 10.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen: questions and answers
When is FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen is on Monday 9 November 2026, in Eredivisie.
Where is FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen played?
At Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht, FC Utrecht's home ground.
Who will win FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
It is close: FC Utrecht 40%, draw 25%, NEC Nijmegen 35%. Our prediction is FC Utrecht 2-2 NEC Nijmegen.
Who is the player to watch in FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
Darko Nejasmic of NEC Nijmegen: a anchor with a Moneyball Score of 54 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.