Fiorentina 2–2 Juventus: Result, Report and Stats
Serie A · Monday 9 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: Fiorentina 2 – 2 Juventus
- Before kick-off the pre-match consensus gave the draw 28%. The consensus had leaned to a Juventus win (43%); the result went against it.
- 4 goals in the match.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.
Fiorentina welcome Juventus to Stadio Artemio Franchi in Firenze in Serie A action on Monday 9 November 2026.
Fiorentina have played 11 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 18% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate. Juventus have played 11 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 45% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 40% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Juventus are narrow favourites at 43%, with the draw at 28% and Fiorentina at 29%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.5 goals: 51%.
Fiorentina: form and key numbers
In style Fiorentina are happy without the ball, take players on, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.72 a match created, 1.63 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.9).
- Shots: 16.9 a match, 5.1 on target.
- Possession: 45.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 82% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Juventus: form and key numbers
In style Juventus keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.49 a match created, 0.92 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.3).
- Shots: 16.4 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 58.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 45% of matches (40% away).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 8.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Fiorentina vs Juventus: season averages side by side
| Fiorentina | Per match | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| 1.72 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.49 |
| 1.63 | xG conceded | 0.92 |
| 1.55 | Goals | 1.36 |
| 16.9 | Shots | 16.4 |
| 5.1 | Shots on target | 5.2 |
| 1.3 | Big chances missed | 1.3 |
| 51.5 | Pressure share % | 70.0 |
| 16.6 | Tackles | 15.6 |
| 12.0 | Fouls | 12.4 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 11 and 11 measured matches.
Fiorentina vs Juventus: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Fiorentina have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 1 of the last 7 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Fiorentina 11, Juventus 7 - 2.6 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Fiorentina 2-2 Juventus (November 8th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 6 meetings Fiorentina won 2, drew 3 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Fiorentina | 2 – 2 | Juventus |
| 17 May 2026 | Juventus | 0 – 2 | Fiorentina |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Fiorentina | 1 – 1 | Juventus |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Fiorentina | 3 – 0 | Juventus |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Juventus | 2 – 2 | Fiorentina |
| 20 Mar 2014 | Fiorentina | 0 – 1 | Juventus |
Players to watch
Fiorentina
- Franco Mastantuono RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 65 · High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions (top 2% of his position)
- Christ Inao Oulaï CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 62 · Ball-winner, Reads the game (top 13% of his position)
Juventus
- Douglas Luiz CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 68 · Ball circulator, Secure passer (top 7% of his position)
- Francisco Conceição RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 67 · High shot volume, Crosser (top 12% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Nick Woltemade
Nick Woltemade, 24 · Juventus · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 77
Nick Woltemade, 24, plays as a centre-forward for Juventus in Serie A. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and expected goals. Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 77
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 73
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 63
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.23 xG/shot | 97% |
| Expected goals | 0.61 / 90 | 93% |
| Key passes | 0.67 / 90 | 92% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.56 / 90 | 90% |
| Duels won | 7.11 / 90 | 80% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator.
- What Nick Woltemade is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Nick Woltemade's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Fiorentina vs Juventus prediction
Juventus should have more of the ball, with Fiorentina likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Fiorentina like to take players on; Juventus work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.31 for Fiorentina and 1.57 for Juventus - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 59%. Juventus have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Fiorentina 1-2 Juventus
Fiorentina vs Juventus: what the numbers say
- 1. Juventus unbeaten (win or draw) 71% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 55% by the model, 2.89 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.5 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 13.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Fiorentina vs Juventus: questions and answers
When is Fiorentina vs Juventus?
Fiorentina vs Juventus is on Monday 9 November 2026, in Serie A.
Where is Fiorentina vs Juventus played?
At Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze, Fiorentina's home ground.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Juventus?
Juventus are the favourites: Fiorentina 29%, draw 28%, Juventus 43%. Our prediction is Fiorentina 1-2 Juventus.
Who is the player to watch in Fiorentina vs Juventus?
Nick Woltemade of Juventus: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 77 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Juventus?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.