Frosinone 4-2 Sassuolo: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Serie A Matchday 7 · Friday 16 October 2026 · Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone · referee M. Marchetti · full time
Full time: Frosinone 4-2 Sassuolo
Frosinone beat Sassuolo 4-2 in Serie A Matchday 7 on Friday 16 October 2026 at Stadio Benito Stirpe. The goals: Giacomo Calò 9', Domenico Berardi 15', Antonio Raimondo 26', Antonio Raimondo 30', Kristian Thorstvedt 37', Antonio Raimondo 57'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Frosinone won it
The opening goal came in the 9th minute: Giacomo Calò for Frosinone. Sassuolo levelled at 1-1 in the 15th minute through Domenico Berardi, set up by Darryl Bakola. Antonio Raimondo made it 2-1 to Frosinone in the 26th minute, set up by Giacomo Calò. Antonio Raimondo made it 3-1 to Frosinone in the 30th minute. Kristian Thorstvedt made it 3-2 to Sassuolo in the 37th minute, set up by Sebastiano Esposito. Antonio Raimondo made it 4-2 to Frosinone in the 57th minute.
It was 3-2 at half-time.
Antonio Raimondo scored a hat-trick.
The referee, M. Marchetti, showed 1 yellow card: 0 to Frosinone and 1 to Sassuolo.
Frosinone: M. Alvini, 4-2-3-1 · Sassuolo: A. Aquilani, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75 at 1.74, and on 4-2 it won.
The estimate's most likely result was a Frosinone win at 41%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.4 goals and there were 6.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 65%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 67%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The bookmakers, margin removed, had a Frosinone win at 38%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.55 for Frosinone and 2.10 for Sassuolo.
Frosinone scored about 2.4 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Frosinone to create more, and Sassuolo did.
Frosinone had 10 shots on target, Sassuolo 6.
Sassuolo's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Sassuolo had 58% of the ball, but Frosinone took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Frosinone came into it with 7 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.59 expected goals for and 2.15 against, and had won 57% of their matches.
Sassuolo came into it with 7 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.68 expected goals for and 1.53 against, and had won 29% of their matches.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: the match in numbers
| Frosinone | Match statistics | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| 42% | Ball possession | 58% |
| 1.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.10 |
| 21 | Total shots | 14 |
| 10 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 5 | Big chances | 4 |
| 334 | Total passes | 466 |
| 74% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 20 | Tackles | 17 |
| 4 | Saves | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Antonio Raimondo (Frosinone), rated 9.2 by Sportmonks, with 3 goals.
Frosinone
- Antonio Raimondo 9.2 3 goals
- Giacomo Calò 8.3 1 goal, 1 assist
- Gabriele Bracaglia 7.1
- Giorgi Kvernadze 7.0
- Matteo Cichella 6.8
Sassuolo
- Domenico Berardi 7.2 1 goal
- Sebastiano Esposito 7.1 1 assist
- Kristian Thorstvedt 7.0 1 goal
- Darryl Bakola 6.7 1 assist
- Cas Odenthal 6.6
The lowest-rated starter was Ignace Van der Brempt at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Frosinone: Atalanta vs Frosinone Sunday 25 October 2026 · Serie A
- Sassuolo: Como vs Sassuolo Saturday 24 October 2026 · Serie A
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Frosinone vs Sassuolo
What was the score in Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
Frosinone 4-2 Sassuolo (half-time 3-2), Serie A, Friday 16 October 2026.
Who scored in Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
Giacomo Calò 9', Domenico Berardi 15', Antonio Raimondo 26', Antonio Raimondo 30', Kristian Thorstvedt 37', Antonio Raimondo 57'.
Did Moneyball predict Frosinone vs Sassuolo correctly?
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75 at 1.74, and on 4-2 it won.
Who was man of the match in Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
Antonio Raimondo, rated 9.2 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
M. Marchetti.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.