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Frosinone 4-2 Sassuolo: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Frosinone 4-2 Sassuolo

Frosinone beat Sassuolo 4-2 in Serie A Matchday 7 on Friday 16 October 2026 at Stadio Benito Stirpe. The goals: Giacomo Calò 9', Domenico Berardi 15', Antonio Raimondo 26', Antonio Raimondo 30', Kristian Thorstvedt 37', Antonio Raimondo 57'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Frosinone won it

The opening goal came in the 9th minute: Giacomo Calò for Frosinone. Sassuolo levelled at 1-1 in the 15th minute through Domenico Berardi, set up by Darryl Bakola. Antonio Raimondo made it 2-1 to Frosinone in the 26th minute, set up by Giacomo Calò. Antonio Raimondo made it 3-1 to Frosinone in the 30th minute. Kristian Thorstvedt made it 3-2 to Sassuolo in the 37th minute, set up by Sebastiano Esposito. Antonio Raimondo made it 4-2 to Frosinone in the 57th minute.

It was 3-2 at half-time.

Antonio Raimondo scored a hat-trick.

The referee, M. Marchetti, showed 1 yellow card: 0 to Frosinone and 1 to Sassuolo.

Frosinone: M. Alvini, 4-2-3-1 · Sassuolo: A. Aquilani, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75 at 1.74, and on 4-2 it won.

The estimate's most likely result was a Frosinone win at 41%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.4 goals and there were 6.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 65%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 67%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The bookmakers, margin removed, had a Frosinone win at 38%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.55 for Frosinone and 2.10 for Sassuolo.

Frosinone scored about 2.4 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Frosinone to create more, and Sassuolo did.

Frosinone had 10 shots on target, Sassuolo 6.

Sassuolo's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Sassuolo had 58% of the ball, but Frosinone took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Frosinone came into it with 7 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.59 expected goals for and 2.15 against, and had won 57% of their matches.

Sassuolo came into it with 7 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.68 expected goals for and 1.53 against, and had won 29% of their matches.

Frosinone vs Sassuolo: the match in numbers

FrosinoneMatch statisticsSassuolo
42%Ball possession58%
1.55Expected goals (xG)2.10
21Total shots14
10Shots on target6
5Big chances4
334Total passes466
74%Pass accuracy81%
5Corners4
13Fouls11
3Offsides3
20Tackles17
4Saves6
0Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Antonio Raimondo (Frosinone), rated 9.2 by Sportmonks, with 3 goals.

Frosinone

Sassuolo

The lowest-rated starter was Ignace Van der Brempt at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Frosinone vs Sassuolo

What was the score in Frosinone vs Sassuolo?

Frosinone 4-2 Sassuolo (half-time 3-2), Serie A, Friday 16 October 2026.

Who scored in Frosinone vs Sassuolo?

Giacomo Calò 9', Domenico Berardi 15', Antonio Raimondo 26', Antonio Raimondo 30', Kristian Thorstvedt 37', Antonio Raimondo 57'.

Did Moneyball predict Frosinone vs Sassuolo correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75 at 1.74, and on 4-2 it won.

Who was man of the match in Frosinone vs Sassuolo?

Antonio Raimondo, rated 9.2 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Frosinone vs Sassuolo?

M. Marchetti.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.