Frosinone vs Torino Prediction and Betting Tips | Serie A Gameweek 10
Serie A · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone · updated 2026-10-18
Frosinone welcome Torino to Stadio Benito Stirpe in Frosinone in Serie A Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Frosinone have played 7 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 57% of them. At home they average 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 75% win rate. Torino have played 6 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Frosinone are narrow favourites at 51%, with the draw at 24% and Torino at 25%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Frosinone 1.89, Torino 1.28.
- Over 2.5 goals: 61% · both teams to score: 62%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (11%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Frosinone: form and key numbers
In style Frosinone are happy without the ball, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.59 a match created, 2.15 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.9).
- Shots: 17.4 a match, 5.6 on target.
- Possession: 42.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.93.
Torino: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.07 a match created, 1.66 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.6).
- Shots: 9.8 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 51.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.5 a match.
- Discipline: 0.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Frosinone vs Torino: season averages side by side
| Frosinone | Per match this season | Torino |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 6 |
| 1.9 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 1.59 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.07 |
| 2.15 | xG conceded | 1.66 |
| 17.4 | Shots | 9.8 |
| 5.6 | On target | 3.2 |
| 42.6 | Possession % | 51.2 |
| 29% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 43% | Both teams scored % | 83% |
| 5.4 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 0.7 |
| 6.93 | Average rating | 6.72 |
Players to watch
Frosinone
- Lorenzo Palmisani GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 67 · Dominant in the air, Shot-stopper (top 9% of his position)
- Antonio Raimondo CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 64 · Clinical finisher, Gets into scoring positions (top 6% of his position)
Torino
- Ardian Ismajli CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 60 · Box defender, Reads the game (top 9% of his position)
- Kian Fitz-Jim CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 59 · Dribbler, Creator (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Giorgi Kvernadze
Giorgi Kvernadze, 23 · Frosinone · LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 66
Giorgi Kvernadze, 23, plays as a winger for Frosinone in Serie A. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and shots. Weakest in accurate crosses. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 66
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 62
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 61
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 2.85 / 90 | 89% |
| Shots | 3.29 / 90 | 89% |
| Key passes | 2.25 / 90 | 83% |
| Expected goals | 0.29 / 90 | 78% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.24 / 90 | 70% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★½ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
Scout's notes: Dribbler, High shot volume, Chance creator.
- What Giorgi Kvernadze is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Giorgi Kvernadze's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Frosinone vs Torino prediction
Torino should have more of the ball, with Frosinone likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Frosinone work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 1.89 for Frosinone and 1.28 for Torino - with over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 62%. Frosinone have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Frosinone 2-1 Torino
Frosinone vs Torino betting tips
- Tip 1: Frosinone win or draw (double chance) 75% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 61% by the model, 3.16 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 62% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 8.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Serie A previews
- Torino vs Monza Friday 23 October 2026
- Como vs Sassuolo Saturday 24 October 2026
- Cagliari vs Bologna Saturday 24 October 2026
- Napoli vs Roma Saturday 24 October 2026
- Lazio vs Parma Saturday 24 October 2026
- Inter vs Fiorentina Sunday 25 October 2026
- Genoa vs Venezia Sunday 25 October 2026
- Atalanta vs Frosinone Sunday 25 October 2026
Frosinone vs Torino: questions and answers
When is Frosinone vs Torino?
Frosinone vs Torino is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC, in Serie A Gameweek 10.
Where is Frosinone vs Torino played?
At Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone, Frosinone's home ground.
Who will win Frosinone vs Torino?
Frosinone are the favourites: Frosinone 51%, draw 24%, Torino 25%. Our prediction is Frosinone 2-1 Torino.
Who is the player to watch in Frosinone vs Torino?
Giorgi Kvernadze of Frosinone: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 66 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Frosinone vs Torino?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.