Fulham 1-0 Hull City: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Fulham won it

The opening goal came in the 33rd minute: Alex Iwobi for Fulham, set up by Sander Berge.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

Ryan Sessegnon of Fulham was sent off in the 90th minute (+4). The referee, C. Kavanagh, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Fulham and 2 to Hull City.

Fulham: Á. Arbeloa Coca, 4-2-3-1 · Hull City: S. Jakirović, 5-4-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Hull City +0.75 at 2.01. On 1-0 it lost half: half the stake came back.

The estimate's most likely result was a Fulham win at 55%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.8 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 54%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 54%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The bookmakers, margin removed, had a Fulham win at 56%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.16 for Fulham and 1.63 for Hull City.

Hull City left about 1.6 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Hull City created the better chances, 1.63 xG to 0.16, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Fulham to create more, and Hull City did.

Fulham had 6 shots on target, Hull City 0.

Hull City's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Fulham had 76% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Fulham came into it with 6 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.62 expected goals for and 1.50 against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Hull City came into it with 6 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.09 expected goals for and 1.50 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Fulham vs Hull City: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Alex Iwobi (Fulham), rated 8.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Fulham

• Alex Iwobi 8.6 1 goal
• Oscar Bobb 7.5
• Joshua David Steven King 7.3
• Calvin Bassey 7.3
• Timothy Castagne 7.2

Hull City

• Mohamed Belloumi 6.9
• John Egan 6.9
• Konstantinos Tzolakis 6.9
• Hidemasa Morita 6.7
• Lucas Herrington 6.6

The lowest-rated starter was Semi Ajayi at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Fulham: Coventry City vs Fulham Saturday 24 October 2026 · Premier League
• Hull City: Hull City vs Brentford Sunday 25 October 2026 · Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Fulham vs Hull City

What was the score in Fulham vs Hull City?

Fulham 1-0 Hull City (half-time 1-0), Premier League, Saturday 17 October 2026.

Who scored in Fulham vs Hull City?

Alex Iwobi 33'.

Did Moneyball predict Fulham vs Hull City correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Hull City +0.75 at 2.01. On 1-0 it lost half: half the stake came back.

Who was man of the match in Fulham vs Hull City?

Alex Iwobi, rated 8.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Fulham vs Hull City?

C. Kavanagh.