Fulham vs Newcastle United Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 10
Premier League · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Craven Cottage, London · updated 2026-10-24
Fulham welcome Newcastle United to Craven Cottage in London in Premier League Gameweek 10 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Fulham have played 7 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 14% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 100% win rate. Newcastle United have played 7 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 29% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 2.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Fulham are narrow favourites at 51%, with the draw at 24% and Newcastle United at 25%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Fulham 1.83, Newcastle United 1.21.
- Over 2.5 goals: 59% · both teams to score: 60%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (11%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Fulham: form and key numbers
In style Fulham keep the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.62 a match created, 1.31 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.3).
- Shots: 14.7 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 57.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 57% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Newcastle United: form and key numbers
In style Newcastle United are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.25 a match created, 1.91 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.2).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 3.6 on target.
- Possession: 51.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 14% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
Fulham vs Newcastle United: season averages side by side
| Fulham | Per match this season | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 7 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 1.62 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.25 |
| 1.31 | xG conceded | 1.91 |
| 14.7 | Shots | 12.3 |
| 4.7 | On target | 3.6 |
| 57.0 | Possession % | 51.6 |
| 29% | Clean sheets % | 14% |
| 57% | Both teams scored % | 71% |
| 6.1 | Corners | 4.6 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 2.7 |
| 6.77 | Average rating | 6.74 |
Players to watch
Fulham
- Shea Charles DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 66 · Blocks shots, Disciplined (top 2% of his position)
- Antonee Robinson LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 61 · Chance creator, Crosser (top 6% of his position)
Newcastle United
- Lewis Hall LWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 58 · Ball-winner, Reads the game (top 10% of his position)
- Malick Thiaw CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 53 · Blocks shots, Dominant in the air (top 2% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Sven Botman
Sven Botman, 26 · Newcastle United · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 67
Sven Botman, 26, plays as a centre-back for Newcastle United in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and fouls committed. Weakest in tackles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 67
- DM · Defensive midfielder Competent, 58
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 4.86 / 90 | 99% |
| Fouls committed | 0.29 / 90 | 97% |
| Clearances | 8.00 / 90 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 1.57 / 90 | 96% |
| Duels won | 6.29 / 90 | 94% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★★★½ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Disciplined, Box defender.
- What Sven Botman is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Sven Botman's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Fulham vs Newcastle United prediction
Fulham should have more of the ball; Fulham like to take players on; Newcastle United are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.83 for Fulham and 1.21 for Newcastle United - with over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 60%. Fulham have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Fulham 2-1 Newcastle United
Fulham vs Newcastle United betting tips
- Tip 1: Fulham win or draw (double chance) 75% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 59% by the model, 3.04 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 60% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 10.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Fulham vs Newcastle United: questions and answers
When is Fulham vs Newcastle United?
Fulham vs Newcastle United is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 10.
Where is Fulham vs Newcastle United played?
At Craven Cottage, London, Fulham's home ground.
Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle United?
Fulham are the favourites: Fulham 51%, draw 24%, Newcastle United 25%. Our prediction is Fulham 2-1 Newcastle United.
Who is the player to watch in Fulham vs Newcastle United?
Sven Botman of Newcastle United: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 67 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Newcastle United?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.