Georgia vs Northern Ireland: Prediction, Odds and Preview
UEFA Nations League B · Friday 25 September 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-07
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Georgia host Northern Ireland in the UEFA Nations League B on Friday 25 September 2026. The bookmakers make Georgia narrow favourites at 49%, with the draw at 27% and Northern Ireland at 24%, once the margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Georgia -0.5 at 1.78, Northern Ireland at 1.92. The main goals line is 2.25: over 1.69, under 1.97, which gives over 54%.
Form in numbers
- Georgia create more: 1.44 expected goals a match against 0.99 for Northern Ireland.
- Northern Ireland give away less, 1.48 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Georgia 10.7 (– on target), Northern Ireland 12.4 (– on target).
| Georgia | Per match | Northern Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.99 |
| 1.68 | xG conceded | 1.48 |
| 1.91 | Goals | 0.86 |
| 10.7 | Shots | 12.4 |
| 13.1 | Tackles | 17.0 |
| 9.9 | Fouls | 8.0 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 0.5 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 24 and 8 measured matches.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.